Friday 30 October 2020

Gameweek 23 Preview

Gameweek 23 in Eliteserien will see all 16 teams playing over the weekend for the first time in a month. Molde are balancing Europa League action with battling for second place in the table, with Rosenborg, Vålerenga and Odd all battling for the silver medal.


Last weeks round ended on Tuesday with Haugesund picking up a massive win at Viking, and it was a solid week for the blog, as we take a look at my bets for last weekend.


Gameweek 22 Bets

Rosenborg to score 2+ goals (2.1)

Odd to beat Aalesund (1.85) NAP

Glimt v Mjøndalen over 3.5 goals

Åsane to beat KFUM (2.00)

So it was 2 out of 4 in the bets of the week, and in the eight individual game bet builders, it was 5/8 that were correct. A decent ratio for the weekend, and plenty opportunity for people to make some money!

Moving on to Gameweek 23, it is back to the usual of two games Saturday and six on Sunday, with game of the week taking place in Kristiansund, where they welcome Bodø/Glimt on Sunday evening.


Saturday 31st October


Odd v Sarpsborg (Home win)

Last week Odd went to Aalesund and ran out comfortable 3-0 winners, despite fielding an extremely young team, averaging 23.4 years of age, only three players older than 24 years old. The Kitolano brothers played together for the first time, and they got an easy win.

The result was massively helped by Aalesund keeper Lie having an absolute shocking error for the opening goal, a first goal for Odd for 21 year old Odin Bjørtuft. The second goal was another first for the club, this time for 20 year old Kevin Egell-Johnsen.

Bakenga headed home the third late on for his seventh goal of the season to keep the pressure on the three teams above them in the race for second.

Sarpsborg were beaten 1-2 at home to Rosenborg. Going two down in the first half, they scored with 20 minutes to go through Jonathon Lindseth, but failed to find a late equaliser despite good pressure. Sitting 10th and eight points clear of Start in 14th, Sarpsborg will be looking up in the remaining games to try and finish in the top half.

The away form of Sarpsborg has been the main issue for them this season, just eight points out of 27 they have total have been won on the road.

Odd have really good home form, winning 7 out of 10 games at home this year, so this should be a home win. I do think however this could be a close game. Sarpsborg have improved a lot in Autumn, particularly adding attacking quality.

Odd have won their previous six home games, and after three away games in a row will be happy to be back home this weekend. 

Sarpsborg beat Odd 2-0 earlier in the season, so Odd will be out for some revenge, and I think we could be in for a good game. Normally Sarpsborg either don't concede, or fail to score, so it is hard to back up with stats that both teams will score, but Odd have scored in 11 out of 12 games, and I think given Sarpsborg improved attack, we will see an open game here.

Sarpborg have only scored more than once in one game away from home all season, so it is unlikely they will score many, but I think they will get one.

I like Odd to win this one, and with Espen Ruud back from suspension, he brings some experience to this young side. I think it will be a pretty even game, but Odd have enough about them at home to get the job done.


Bet Builder: Both teams to score, Odd to win either half (2.40)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Bakenga (2.50), Ruud (3.75) or Heintz (5.00)


Haugesund v Aalesund (Home Win)


Haugesund won at Viking on Tuesday night thanks to a first half goal from Ibrahima Wadji, and some help from the referee who refused Viking a late spot kick for a clear foul by Alexander Stølås in injury time.

It was the best of Wadji, using his pace to go in behind and finishing calmly into the far corner. He isn't a great striker, but he is quick and it can be dangerous especially on the counter attack.

Aalesund lost for the ninth game in a row, conceding another three goals, making it 16 conceded in the last five games.

Haugesund are another team who perform better at home, and they are very inconsistent, having only won consecutive games twice this season with that win on Tuesday. They beat Sarpsborg at home two weeks ago, and I expect they will win this week as well.

Aalesund are as good as down with their 7 points, and motivation looks pretty low right now. They haven't scored for the last couple of games, and are yet to keep a clean sheet all season, so it would be a surprise to see it this week against a team who are finding form and have scored in nine games in a row.

I think it is a game we can expect goals in, 7 of 11 home games have had at least three at Haugesund, and Aalesund games have only seen fewer than three on four occasions all season.

The reverse game was 1-3 in Aalesund, and Haugesund have conceded 36 goals this season, so Aalesund scoring isn't out of the question, and both teams to score is well priced at 1.9.

If Haugesund win they can go seventh, and a top half finish would be a good achievement. They are strong favourites on Saturday, and I don't see them slipping up here.

Haugesund home games and Aalesund away games generally serve up plenty corners, so something to add to the bet builder for this one.

Bet Builder: over 2.5 goals, 9+ corners (2.20)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Wadji (1.90), Velde (3.00) or Bruno Leite (4.33)



Sunday 1st November


Mjøndalen v Molde (Away Win) (1500 Kick Off CET)


Last weekend Mjøndalen went to Glimt and didn't play too badly in defeat, losing 2-0. They had a couple of good chances, but ultimately it is another week without scoring, the ninth time this season.

Molde on the other hand won at home to Strømsgodset, eventually scoring two goals in the second half before conceding late, in a 2-1 win. Leke James and Martin Ellingson grabbed the goals, with James returning from an injury, it will be good to have him back in the team for the remainder of the season.

Balancing Europa League games with the league will be hard for Molde as they played Rapid Vienna on Thursday night and picked up a huge 1-0 win, Ohi with the goal in the second half, which puts them in a strong position before two games with Arsenal.

Mjøndalen are still in 15th place, seven points from safety, but only two behind Start in the playoff spot. They have won just five times all season, three at home. But they have lost their remaining seven games at home, so they will find it tough on Sunday afternoon.

Although Molde are playing twice a week currently, they have the squad and the quality to win this one. They were put under pressure, but they have turned round their form, winning three in a row, and I expect them to make it four on Sunday.

Mjøndalen will sit in and try and keep it tight, but they need to win games, so they can't afford to only defend.

Molde have a full squad to choose from and they should be strong enough even with some rotation. They have scored eight in their last three games, so they should be looking to score at least two here. Mjøndalen have conceded at least two in 7 of their previous 8, so Molde to score two or more is very likely.

Mjøndalen are fighting for their lives, so like last week, it might take Molde some time to get going and break them down. They have won the 2nd half in the last three games, so I am looking at them to do it here again.

Bet Builder: Molde to win the 2nd half, Molde 2+ goals (2.25)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: James (1.90), Eikrem (2.37) or Liseth (3.25) 


Kristiansund v Bodø/Glimt (Away Win)


Bendik Bye scored a late equaliser for Kristiansund last weekend as they got a decent 1-1 draw at Vålerenga to stay in the hunt for the top four. Unbeaten in five now, although three of them were draws, Kristiansund need to get back to winning ways, especially at home.

Glimt won 2-0 thanks to a double from Kasper Junker, but again they lacked the same attacking verve that we have become used to. Zinckernagel was out, and may still be out this weekend, they really are missing his quality on the right of the front three.

Despite maybe lacking a little of the attacking threat, they have still scored two or more in every game this season, and have won eight out of their last nine games. 

Kristiansund are one of just three teams to have been leading against Glimt at half time this year, and one of only two teams that have stopped Glimt scoring in the first half.

They went to Bodø and sat in very deep, making it very difficult for Glimt to break them down, and I expect to see something similar this week. Two strong centre backs plus Hopmark and Diop sitting in holding midfield, this won't be an attacking outlook from the home side.

They will look to counter and be direct, looking for Pellegrino and I think Faris, who will likely start up top this week.

Glimt might have Zinckernagel back this week, but Brunstad Fet is still out. Hugo Vetlesen made his debut from the bench last weekend, so he could start this one. It could be the weekend that they fail to score two, I have a feeling Kristiansund will shut this one down like they did to Rosenborg two weeks ago, and they kept Vålerenga to one goal last week.

An early Glimt goal would open it up, but it is hard to guarantee it the way Kristiansund defend. Hopefully it happens, as it would make for a very good game.

I would be surprised if it is 0-0, but I think this one could take a while to warm up, and the second half is likely to be more open than the first.

Glimt are favourites, and I think, although it will be tight, that they will eventually get the job done on Sunday. But this is a tough one to call given the way the home side will play.

Every home game for Kristiansund has had at least eight corners, so something to look at. Their last five games have all had at least 13 corners.

Bet Builder: 9+ corners, Most goals in the second half (2.38)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Junker (2.00), Vetlesen (3.75) or Faris (2.40)


Rosenborg v Start (Home Win)



Rosenborg went to Sarpsborg last week and came away with a really important 2-1 win to keep them in the hunt for second place. Dino Islamovic got the first goal from the spot, then a counter attacking goal was nicely finished off by left back Pa Konate. 

They were hanging on a bit late on but it was a crucial win and they are now ten unbeaten and playing much better football.

Start on the other hand had a really poor result, losing 0-1 at home to Sandefjord in what was a massive game at the bottom.

Start had the best of the game and missed some really good chances, and they were made to pay in the second half. It was a real chance to catch up with the teams above them but now they are five points behind Brann and in need of points.

Rosenborg are really strong at home, losing only once to Glimt this season and I fancy them to get a good win at home this weekend. Last home game they beat Odd 4-1 and I think Start might struggle to keep the goals down for the home team.

Start have only picked up three points away from home all season, yet to win, and the long trip from Kristiansand will not be easy for them here. I expect Rosenborg to score goals.

Start have had a couple of big defeats on the road this year at Glimt and Molde, and I think Rosenborg could dish out another one. They have scored at least two goals in 9 of their 11 home games, and I think they will get at least three here.

Start can't sit in and just hope for a draw, they need to start winning games no matter who they are playing. So hopefully we get a nice open game with Rosenborg continuing their good form.

Rosenborg home games usually have plenty corners too, at least nine in all but three of the games, and the way they are playing I can see them being on the attack in this game for the majority of the time.

Bet Builder: Rosenborg to score in both halves, 9+ match corners (2.50)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Islamovic (2.30), Zachariassen (2.87) or Reitan (5.00)


Stabæk v Viking (Draw)


Stabæk drew 1-1 away at Brann last weekend, Edvardsen scored for the second week running, but they lost an equaliser with 15 minutes to go, and neither side found a winner.

Viking lost on Tuesday night against Haugesund in a fairly disappointing display. They didn't create many chances, and perhaps were a little rusty after not playing a game for three weeks due to covid.

Stabæk will be happy to be back home where they have won three on the bounce against Haugesund, Start and Aalesund. Important wins that have taken them clear of any potential trouble and up to 8th place.

Viking had been unbeaten in eight before Tuesday night, so they will be hoping to get back to it as they seek a top half finish as well, currently level on points with Stabæk having played a game less.

I think we can expect a good open game in this one, these sides drew 3-3 back in August, and both prefer to play on the front foot. The grass at Nadderud Stadion might help Stabæk a little, but getting to this late stage in the season and with the colder weather, the surface might be struggling a little.

It is a game I think we should be looking at goals, Viking had scored 17 in 5 games prior to Tuesday, and Stabæk have scored eight in the last three home games.

No result would really surprise me, this is two evenly matched teams with good attacking talent. I think Stabæk bringing in Valsvik in defense has helped them get over the absense of Hanche-Olsen as well.

One issue for the home side is the suspension of Bohinen. The midfielder is the main man in terms of ball retention in midfield, so he could be a loss in the midfield battle.

There has been 18 and 17 corners in the last two Viking games, nobody has had more corners all season than Viking, and Stabæk are 4th in the league for corners conceded, so the away team likely to win a corner bet.

This could well be the game to watch on Sunday, and hopefully it produces the goals I expect.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, over 2.5 goals, 9+ match corners (2.50)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Berisha (2.62), Antonsson (2.50) or Skytte (4.30)


Sandefjord v Brann (Draw)


Sandefjord picked up that huge win last weekend, a really nicely taken goal from Harmeet Singh. Storevik was once again impressive in goals as they moved seven points clear of Start.

Brann drew with Stabæk and are themselves only five points ahead of Start as they struggle for form, having not won in seven games. 

Kristoffer Barmen headed in their only goal, but they still look short of confidence and were perhaps a little lucky after Stabæk missed a couple good chances to double their lead.

Barmen is suspended for this week after another yellow, so they are weakened with injuries as well, so this could be tough for the team from Bergen.

Sandefjord seem to win games when they really need to, winning recently against Start and Mjøndalen. They have a solid base and I think this will be another tight game.

Both teams have scored more than one goal in a match just once in nine games, so I think this has to be a low scoring game. Brann will be nervous about their position, and I think Sandefjord would see a draw as a good result, and would be happy to snatch a 1-0 win.

Brann have won 2 out of 15 games, so they are in awful form and although they have picked up more points away from home this season, I would be surprised if they won this one.

A draw is probably the most likely result, but Sandefjord have found a way to win important games this season, and I wouldn't put this one passed them.

Both these teams matches usually have plenty corners, only Mjøndalen have stopped them both in recent times from having at least nine match corners.

Bet Builder: 9+ match corners, under 3.5 goals, Sandefjord to win or draw (2.80)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Vega (2.87), Taylor (3.60) or Gussiås (2.60)


Strømsgodset v Vålerenga (Draw)


The run of six draws came to an end last week for Strømsgodset as they lost 2-1 at Molde. They held on for 70 minutes, but lost a couple of goals before a late consolation, and well taken goal, by Ingimundarson, his first goal for the club.

Vålerenga drew 1-1 at home to Kristiansund to remain unbeaten at home, but they will be disappointed to have given up a lead after Borchgrevink set up Kjartansson for the opening goal.

It was the 7th goal in 6 games for the big Icelandic striker, and Borchgrevink picked up assist number 4 in what has been an impressive season for the 21 year old right back.

Godset have been dragged into a relegation fight now having not won for eight games. When you draw so often it can go either way, lose a couple games and suddenly you haven't won for ages, win a couple and you are unbeaten for ages. It is the former for Godset now, and they have a tough game this weekend to bounce back.

Vålerenga have been better at home, but won 0-3 away at Sandefjord two weeks ago, and this game should be a good one. Two fairly attacking sides that both like to press. 

No absentees really for either side, I expect we could see a nice open game here and some goals to end to the weekend on. 

Vålerenga have hit a blank once in the previous 13 games, and despite their form, Godset have scored in 9 out of 12 games. So I think both teams to score is pretty likely.

The away side have only won 4 out of 11 on the road, so it is tough to back them to win, and that is the main reason they are 4th and not up in 2nd place in the league.

Kjartansson is in great form up top, Dønnum just signed a new deal too, so he will be firing on the weekend, and if anyone is going to win it will likely be Vålerenga.

Corners is an angle to look at here too. At least nine in 13 of 14 Godset games, and 15 of 16 Vålerenga games. Two attacking sides that press high and cross the ball a lot, usually equals some corners.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, 10+ match corners (2.35)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kjartansson (2.20), Mawa (3.10) or Dønnum (3.10)


Bets of the Weekend


Odd to beat Sarpsborg (1.95) NAP

Haugesund/Aalesund Both teams to score (1.90)

Rosenborg to score 3+ goals (2.38)


Division 1 prices still not up, might have something on twitter for that, or add it here tomorrow.


Friday 23 October 2020

Gameweek 22 Preview

Gameweek 22 in the Eliteserien this weekend, and for the first time we can no longer talk about an unbeaten Glimt side. Beaten 4-2 by Molde last weekend, they finally lose a game.

This weekend we have 7 games in the league, with Viking and Haugesund playing on Tuesday due to the corona regulations meaning Viking couldn't play this weekend.

Two games on Saturday followed by five on Sunday, then the other game Tuesday means a full fixture list to preview for me.

A look back at gameweek 21 for me shows an absolutely shocking weekend on the prediction front, and so lets hope I can bounce back this week.

Brann to score 2+ goals (2.0) - Brann were shocking

Bodø/Glimt Draw no bet to beat Molde (2.0) - When I wrote this, Glimt were missing far fewer players from their team than when Saturday came around

BTTS Double - Kristiansund v Rosenborg and Sandefjord v Vålerenga (2.44) - Poor this

Tromsø HT/FT v KFUM Oslo (2.10) - Tromsø had a rare off day and missed some decent chances in a 1-1 draw.

There was the usual bet builders in which 3/7 were correct, so all in all a pretty poor weekend.


So lets hope for better things as we move on to Gameweek 22!


Saturday 24th October


Start v Sandefjord (Draw)


Start went away to Strømsgodset last weekend and drew 1-1, which on paper looks like a good result. However it was points dropped, as after 36 year old Christian Bolanos had given them the lead from the penalty spot, Godset went down to 10 men, but still fought back.

Start have only won 3 points away from home all season, so they will be happy to be home again, where they have earned 16 points.

Sandefjord lost 0-3 at home to Vålerenga on Sunday night in what was a really disappointing display, especially in the second half when they never really offered any threat to get back into the game.

As a result of last week, this game is huge with just four points separating the two teams, Sandefjord sitting just once place above Start who are in that relegation playoff spot.

Start have won four of their last five home games, so I make them favourites for this one, although Sandefjord have actually picked up more points away from home this season, as they prefer to counter attack. 

Wins at Molde and Mjøndalen recently, as well as running Glimt and Vålerenga close in away games show they are a good side on the road.

I can imagine this being a nervy game, but I see both teams scoring in this one. Sandefjord have scored in eight consecutive away games, and Start have that good recent home record.

Start need to win, Sandefjord will hit on the break, it should be a decent game in Kristiansand. Neither side has notable injury or suspension issue, although Daland might miss out for Start, the young defender has been impressive this year, but did pick up a knock last weekend.

This will be a close game, a game that means a lot to both teams, and one that no result would really surprise me come full time.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, under 4.5 goals total (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Ramsland (2.50), Vega (3.00) or Schulze (3.50)


Brann v Stabæk (Draw)


Brann went to Mjøndalen last week and they were absolutely shocking as they went down 2-0. They are now getting dragged into trouble and have not won in the last six games.

They have only won 2 of their last 14 games, and on Saturday they lacked any creativity as they were outfought by fellow strugglers Mjøndalen.

Stabæk on the other hand bounced back from their 4-0 defeat two weeks ago, to record a 4-0 win of their own against Aalesund last weekend. Typically inconsistent, they show real quality some weeks and real vulnerability others, meaning they are impossible to predict.

Goals last week came from Bohinen, Edvardsen, Solheim, and a debut goal for defender Gustav Valsvik. Aalesund were awful, and the goalkeeper was poor, but it was a good win for Stabæk.

The last win Brann had was at Stabæk, and they really need to repeat the feat and get 3 points this week. They sit level with Sandefjord and just four points clear of safety.

Stabæk have not won back to back games all season, so it is tough to predict that they will do it here, although they are far longer odds than they should be, with Brann at even money.

The home side have won just twice in Bergen all season, picking up nine points, and with these two sides both used to playing on grass, and given the wet weather recently, it will probably be a tight game.

Only 1 Brann home game has had fewer than 9 corners this season, so something to add to the bet builder.

Brann might sneak an important win, they need it, and Stabæk haven't won away since 12th July, only doing so twice this season. Depending on what Stabæk turns up, Brann could get away from trouble, but a draw is also very likely as they looked so poor last weekend and totally bereft of confidence.

Bet Builder: 9+ match corners, both teams to score (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Svendsen (2.40), Skytte (5.50) or Edvardsen (3.10)


Sunday 25th October


Aalesund v Odd (Away Win)


Aalesund are doomed to relegation and are not showing much sign of fight right now as their one win this season has long since been forgotten. 4-0 last weekend and they hardly laid a glove on Stabæk.

Odd meanwhile have dropped to 6th after they had their game was postponed last weekend. Now five points behind Molde who sit in second, Odd need to get back to winning ways if they are going to challenge for the silver medal.

The last time these sides met Odd won 3-2 thanks to a last minute winner, but I expect with Odd having European football to play for, and Aalesund already effectively down, this should be an away win.

Odd have won 6 out of their last 10 games, but recently just had some tough away fixtures at Molde, Glimt and Rosenborg. They also drew 4-4 at Haugesund despite being 4-1 up going into the 87th minute.

Aalesund have lost eight in a row, so they are not only doomed to relegation, but in awful form, losing 13 goals in their previous four fixtures.

Odd have scored 14 in their last five games, so I think with the quality they have in attacking areas we should be looking for goals in this one. Only four times in 21 games have Aalesund matches had fewer than three goals, usually because they can't defend.

Odd should get back to winning ways on the road here, I can't see Aalesund being motivated enough, or having the quality to stop them.

This game should see John and Joshua Kitolano playing for Odd together after John signed to replace Birk Risa. So nice to see brothers playing together, with their other brother Eric in great form for Tromsø this season.

Bet builder: Odd to win either half and over 2.5 match goals (2.00)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Simovic (2.30), Rashani (2.30) or Haugen (3.75)


Molde v Strømsgodset (Home Win)


Molde became the first team to beat Glimt this season with a 4-2 win at Aker Stadion last Saturday, and they deserved it over the piece. It was disappointing Glimt had so many players missing, but Molde were very good, especially in the first half.

Two goals from Eikrem and one each from Ohi and Hestad had them 4-1 in front after going behind. Helped largely by the Glimt keeper, this was a big win for them as they go for second place.

Back in European action with the Europa League on Thursday, they will have just two days free between a game against Dundalk in Ireland before they welcome Strømsgodset. But they will be full of confidence after turning round that game and winning 2-1 in Ireland.

Godset showed good fight last weekend to get their point with 10 men after Ipalibo Jack was sent off for two yellows, the second although a little careless was perhaps a bit harsh.

Moses Mawa got back amongst the goals, firing home from close range, and Lars Jørgen Salvesen nearly won it late on as they showed the kind of spirit they need to get away from relegation trouble. 

Six draws on the bounce for Godset, they need to start winning some games, sitting as they are, five points clear of Start.

With good wins in Brann then against Glimt, I do fancy Molde to win this one, although it won't be as easy as suggested, coming off the European game. Strømsgodset press hard and high, so it won't be an easy game for the home side.

The reverse fixture finished 0-4, but Godset were excellent in the first half that day, only losing a cracking goal right on half time from Hestad that set the pattern for the second half.

Godset have players to cause trouble, but Molde with momentum behind them should get the job done.

In what should be an attacking encounter, corners will be something worth looking at here, and I do expect, given the style of play of both teams, there to be goals in the game.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, 9+ match corners (2.20)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Eikrem (2.10), Salvesen (3.50) or Hussain (2.62)


Sarpsborg v Rosenborg (Away Win)


Last week Sarpsborg lost 2-0 at Haugesund, and there continues to be a big difference between their home and away form. Just two wins away from home and 8 points, compare that to their 6 wins at home and 19 points.

Rosenborg went to Kristiansund last weekend and played out a 0-0 that will not be remembered as a game for the purist. It was a game lacking any real chances and was a very tough watch. The first time Rosenborg have failed to score since the 26th of July.

Rosenborg dropped behind Molde again last week, so they will be out to try and get back into 2nd place this week. They had gone eight games in a row scoring at least two goals before last weekend, and I think they can get back to goalscoring form this week.

Sarpsborg are a good home side though, so this won't be easy. They have won 4 of their last 5 games at home, only Glimt managing to take 3 points away from them in that spell, but I do think Rosenborg can be the 5th away team to win here this season.

The reverse fixture finished 5-1 at Lerkendal, and Rosenborg look much more solid now as well with Eyjolfsson in defense looking like a really good signing. 

Zachariassen is another player to keep an eye on this week. The former Sarpsborg man is top scorer with 10 goals for Rosenborg this year, and the midfielder will be very keen to come back to Sarpsborg and steal the show.

Despite both sides blanking last week, I think this could be a really good game. One negative that tips in the way of Rosenborg is the suspension to Bjørn Utvik in defense for the home side. He is a big player and commanding defender who will be missed this weekend.

Corners as usual in Rosenborg games can be expected, with at least 10 corners coming in 11 of the previous 12 matches.

Bet Builder: Rosenborg 2+ goals, 9+ match corners (2.66)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Zacahriassen (3.75), Islamovic (3.00) or Lindseth (5.00)


Vålerenga v Kristiansund (Home Win)


Vålerenga put in probably their best away display of the season last Sunday night with a 0-3 win at Sandefjord. Two goals from Kjartansson and a late third from Aron Dønnum mean that they are only two points off second placed Molde

Kristiansund drew 0-0 at home as they continue to struggle for home form this year, just 16 points coming at home compared to 19 away from home.

Vålerenga are still unbeaten at home this season and they will de tested this week by the second best away side in the league. Kristiansund have a very solid base with Coly and Psyche both strong and aggressive defenders. 

With the addition of two holding players that rarely venture forward, it can be quite hard to break them down and get that first goal.

Vålerenga are so impressive at home though, seven wins and three draws, scoring 24 goals and conceding just 11, I expect they can score goals with the quality they have in attack. Sahraoui, Dønnum and Kjartansson is a very exciting front three, and with Bjørdal breaking from midfield, they cause defenses a lot of trouble.

Only once this season have they failed to scored two goals at home, that was in a 1-0 win.

The reverse fixture did finish 0-0, which worries me a little as Kristiansund have had three 0-0 draws this season, two against Rosenborg. So maybe they choose teams to just sit in against.

If there is a goal in the first half, this game will really open up and could be an exciting encounter with both possessing pace in attack and good ability on the counter.

Another two teams who generally have plenty corners in their matches, something to add to the bet builder here.

It might be tough at first, but hopefully the home side get an early goal and this game could really open up and be the game of the weekend between two sides battling for European spots.

Bet Builder: Vålerenga to win either half, 9+ corners, over 2.5 match goals (2.70)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Dønnum (2.75), Pellegrino (2.30) or Bjørdal (5.00)


Bodø/Glimt v Mjøndalen (Home Win)


Glimt were finally beaten this season at Molde last week in a calamitous display from goalkeeper Nikita Khaykin. It was a real shame they had to play without so many regulars, as Zinckernagel, Fet, Sempsted and Moe all missed out through inury or illness. 

They will be looking to bounce back this week, although it remains to be seen who will be back in the team, with Moe the only one looking like making it this weekend.

Mjøndalen picked up a massive win over Brann and deserved the three points with a 2-0 win. First half goals from Ovenstad and Twum gave them a lead that they held on to reasonably comfortably.

They still sit second from bottom however, and this week could see them drop further than the six points from safety they currently sit.

Glimt will be desperate to bounce back to winning ways and I think we could be in for a big win here. The last time Mjøndalen went to a top six side they lost 4-1 at Vålerenga and 6-1 at Odd the time before that.

Last week we saw Glimt take the lead through exciting youngster Sebastian Tounekti, the 18 year old looks like he could be the next big thing for Glimt in the attacking areas.

Mjøndalen have conceded 12 goals in losing their last three away games, scoring just twice. So I think they might well be playing damage limitation this weekend. They are aggressive and will fight their corner, but I think the quality of Glimt will be too much.

Glimt have scored at least two goals in every game this season, and given Mjøndalen have only done that three times all season, it is unlikely they can live with Glimt.

Three times the home side have scored six this year, can they do it again, I wouldn't put it passed them here.

Bet Builder: Glimt HT/FT and Glimt to score in both halves (2.00)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Tounekti (2.60), Saltnes (3.20) or Solbakken (2.87)


Tuesday 27th October


Viking v Haugesund (Home Win)



We have to wait till Tuesday for this fixture as Viking look to continue their good run of form before a positive Covid test cancelled their game last weekend. Veton Berisha tested positive without symptoms, so he is going to still be missing for this one.

The home side are unbeaten in eight games and will be keen to continue to push forward up the table towards the top six.

Haugesund won well against Sarpsborg last weekend as Kristoffer Velde scored again, adding to an own goal at the end of the first half. It lifted them up to 10th and six points clear of Start, although it is still very tight down there.

This should be a good game on Tuesday, although Haugesund are definitely not as strong away from home, picking up just two wins on the road.

Viking have scored 3, 3, 5 and 2 in their last four home games, so this should be another game we can expect some goals. Haugesund have conceded 9 in their previous three away games, so more reason to expect plenty goals.

I fancy the home side to continue their good form, even if it has been three weeks since their last game. Haugesund have scored in eight games in a row, so I do expect both sides to get involved in the scoring, Velde is in very good form and someone who continues to impress me.

Viking are probably just a little short for me to want to back them however, especially with Berisha out and Løkberg looking like missing out too. 

At least 8 corners in 14 matches in a row in Viking games, so again something to add to the bet builder.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, over 2.5 goals, 8+ corners (no prices on bet 365 yet)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Btyqi, Velde or Ibrahimaj


Bets of the Week


Rosenborg 2+ goals v Sarpsborg (2.1)

Odd to beat Aalesund (1.85) NAP

Åsane to beat KFUM Oslo (2.00)

Over 3.5 goals Glimt v Mjøndalen (1.85)

Friday 16 October 2020

Gameweek 21 Preview

It has felt like an age since the last gameweek with this international break going on. But we are back into Eliteserien football this weekend and the beginning of the final third of the season.


Glimt are still unbeaten of course after a pretty unconvincing win over Sandefjord last time out, and Molde got back to winning ways beating Brann. It is Rosenborg however, who have appeared in second place after a shocking start to the season, and the battle for second spot really looks set to go down to the wire.


I should probably also really review the bets I did in each preview, so for the final 10 weeks I will do that, starting now:


Bets of the Week for previous Gameweek


Vålerenga HT/FT (2.05) NAP

Odd to score in FH v Rosenborg (2.20)

Molde to win v Brann (2.30)

Sandnes ULF to score 2+ goals v Grorud (1.83)


So it was 3 out of 4 last time out, and for those that play the Bet Builders, it was 5 of 8 that hit the mark. Pretty good strike rate for the weekend!


On to this week, and it is the usual two games on Saturday followed by five games on Sunday. This is due to a positive covid test in the Viking camp, meaning their match with Odd is cancelled this weekend.

Saturday 17th October

Mjøndalen v Brann (Away Win)


Mjøndalen lost again last time out at Vålerenga, although in the first half they really did play far better. A terrible error by keeper Makani, something that has been creeping into his game, gave Vålerenga the lead right on the half.

Mjøndalen fought back to level in the second half, but fell apart almost immediately and have now lost six in a row, and 13 out of the previous 15 games.

Brann themselves are in poor form and haven't won in five, slipping to tenth place and worryingly they are only five points clear of Start in the relegation playoff spot. Last time out they lost to Molde at home 1-2, in what was a close game that Bamba scored in. But a late own goal from Ruben Kristiansen, who is having a shocking season, means Brann have only two wins from the previous 13 games.

So a game of two sides out of form, but it is fair to say Brann are expected to be much further up the table than Mjøndalen. I guess the main difference between the two sides is in the goal scored column. Brann have scored in 11 of 12 games, meanwhile Mjøndalen in the same period have only scored in half of their games. 

Brann have generally been better on the road this season, picking up 14 points away from home and just the 9 at home, so I fancy them to get a crucial win here. They counter attack fairly well with the pace they have with Bamba and Taylor, so they should cause Mjøndalen problems.

Mjøndalen have conceded at least two goals in their previous six games, and they are likely to be a little more open again as they seek points this week, that should suit Brann.

Brann also signed Sander Svendsen at the end of the window, and he could be a very good signing, the forward and former Molde man scored 13 for Odense in the Danish Superliga last year, he should score goals for Brann.

Something else worth looking at is corners. The previous 12 Brann games have had at least 9 corners in them, so worth putting that in the bet builder. 

Mjøndalen actually beat Brann in the return fixture, one of their two wins on this horrendous run. It was 0-1 in Bergen, and I expect we might see a low scoring game here, but the result could well go the other way.

Bamba has scored two in a row now, a man with the second highest expected goals in the league, he has missed plenty good chances, maybe he can build some momentum for the rest of the season.

Bet Builder: Brann Win/Draw Double chance, 9+ match corners, under 4.5 match goals (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Bamba(2.40), Svendsen(2.60) or Liseth(2.87)


Molde v Bodø/Glimt (Draw)


Molde beat Brann late last time out to get back to winning ways as I predicted, but now they face the successors to their Eliteserien crown. They are in a battle now for second place with Rosenborg, Odd, Vålerenga and Kristiansund, although I make Molde favourites to get there in the end.

Glimt know that this is probably their toughest task in the final ten games if they are to go unbeaten all season. Last time out in their first match without the departed JP Hauge, they beat Sandefjord 2-1, but it was less than convincing.

The Hauge shaped hole has been partially filled by Hugo Vetlesen, who joined from Stabæk just before the window shut. He is different to Hauge, probably more likely to play in the 3 in midfield than up top, but a really exciting player who is having a good season.

The reverse fixture finished 3-1 in Bodø, and although the bookies have Molde as favourites for this one, I think Glimt should be going in as favourites. A high scoring draw could well be the most likely outcome, the top two scoring teams in the division and two teams that like to play on the front foot.

Glimt have scored at least two in every game so far this season, and Molde have scored in every game bar one, so both teams will most likely score.

Molde have done some transfer business of their own, Birk Risa arriving from Odd. The U21 international with Norway has impressed at left back this season, although he can play in a number of positions. Kristoffer Haugen perhaps hasn't been at his best this year, so Risa might come in for him this week at left back, although Zinckernagel has given him a horrible time this season in 4-0 and 6-1 wins for Glimt against Odd.

This is a huge test for both teams, and a very exciting game to look forward to on Saturday evening. I think it might be a draw, but Molde will no doubt be desperate to beat Glimt and stop them going unbeaten.

Glimt have won seven in a row, still only dropping four points all season, so they are full of confidence and should be going to Aker Stadion to attack, they still haven't lost this season, and I think with their ultra fast transition to counter attack, they will remain unbeaten for another week at least.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, over 3.5 goals in the match, goal scored in both halves (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Zinckernagel (2.20), Hussein (3.00) or Saltnes (4.50)


Sunday 18th October


Haugesund v Sarpsborg (Draw)


Haugesund have been in poor form recently as they get dragged into a relegation fight, and it was a 5-1 defeat at Start for them last time out that has to worry supporters. 3-0 down at the half, they were never in the game and this makes this week a huge fixture for them. 

Conceding five against Start is really poor, and that is now 13 in the last 4 games they have conceded. So it will need to be a real improvement from now on in, after four without a win they need to get back to winning ways.

Sarpsborg are up to 8th after a four match unbeaten run, including a 4-0 hammering of Stabæk last time out. They have really strengthened the team after losing Coulibaly and Larsen with the introduction of Heintz and Molins, and now also the return of Saletros. 

Sarpsborg haven't conceded a goal since Glimt beat them five games ago, so they are solid in defense, and with the extra quality in attack, they have added a real threat. It makes them slight favourites here for me, although it is a really tough one to call.

I don't expect it to be a goal fest, Sarpsborg have only scored 8 goals in away games this season, and Haugesund after the last two weeks will probably tighten things up. There is a chance that right back Desler is missing for Haugesund, he is a really important attacking chance creator for them, so he would be a big miss.

The big difference in the last game for Sarpsborg was that Molins was a real presence in attack, and he linked the play very well, leaving space for players around him. I think this could cause Haugesund a lot of problems.

I do think however that at home, Haugesund will score as well. They have scored in 8 out of 10 of their home games, including their previous five, so both teams to score will be on my mind here.

Haugesund home games usually lend themselves to plenty corners too, averaging nearly 13 a match, 11 or more in 8 of the 10 games. 

It is a tough game to call, but should be an exciting enough game, and no result would surprise me really.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, 9+ corners (2.45)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Klitten (4.00), Saletros (8.50) or Heintz (4.75)


Kristiansund v Rosenborg (Draw)


Kristiansund kept pace with the top five last time out with a 2-1 win in Aalesund, goals coming from Moumbagna and Kalludra in the second half after being behind at the break. So no goal for Pellegrino breaking a run of 7 straight games he scored in.

Rosenborg were really impressive at home to Odd and beat them 4-1 at Lerkendal, goals coming from Reitan, Zachariassen and a double for big Dino Islamovic. Islamovic was really poor at the start of the season, but in fairness to him he has really improved his all round game and looks much more of a threat the longer the season goes on.

Despite the form of big Dino, Rosenborg have signed 21 year old Swede, Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul to compete up top. He has been in great form for Halmstad in the second tier in Sweden and looks an exciting addition.

RBK jumped to second in the table, and now look to have a real chance of finishing there, although only four points separate them in second and Kristiansund in sixth.

This should be a really good game between two in form teams. The home team have only lost twice in their previous 12 games, and the away side are eight unbeaten, so this should be a really close one.

Both these teams score plenty goals, it is 12 games since either of them didn't find the net, so both teams to score is very likely. Although the reverse fixture was 0-0, that was gameweek 1, so I'm willing to give that a pass considering the Covid situation meant it was a little bit of a warm up game.

Rosenborg are not as convincing away as they are at home, so that makes me think they might struggle to take three points here, I like the directness of Kristiansund, and also think Pellegrino can find space on the left wing considering Rosenborg like their fullbacks to attack.

These teams have scored 14 and 15 respectively in their last 6 games, so goals has to be expected, and they are two teams that have plenty corners. KBK average over 6.5 corners at home, meanwhile RBK average nearly 8 corners away from home, so expect corners and goals in what should be another top game this weekend.

Bet Builder: 10+ match corners, both teams to score, over 2.5 match goals (2.30)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Islamovic (2.62), Pellegrino (1.95), Zachariassen (3.40)


Stabæk v Aalesunds (Home Win)


Stabæk were shocking last week in the first half at Sarpsborg, 4-0 down at the break and they never looked like recovering. Their first game without captain Hanche-Olsen after his move to Gent, and they looked terrible at the back.

They have tried to rectify that by bringing in Gustav Valsvik from Rosenborg, so he should help them in that department. They have also lost Hugo Vetlesen to Glimt, and his energy and quality will be missed too. 

Aalesund lost again despite being ahead at the break against Kristiansund last week thanks to Markus Karlsbakk's first senior goal for Aalesund. The 20 year old midfielder has scored plenty goals for the 2nd team, so will likely get a chance to play some minutes now towards the end of the season.

Stabæk have not been in great form recently, winning only two of their last 11 games. Those two wins however have come in their previous two home games, wins against Haugesund and Start. So I expect they should be good enough to see off Aalesund at home.

Aalesund obviously now are going down, just one win all season, seven points in total, it has been a total failure of a year for them in Eliteserien. They can salvage some pride, and although they have lost seven in a row, five of those games have been by just one goal. 

I don't think this game will be particularly high scoring, Stabæk at home have 11 goals and 10 conceded in their 10 games, so they generally keep it quite tight at Nadderud Stadion. I can see the home side winning a close game 2-1 or 1-0.

Every Stabæk home game has had at least nine corners, so that seems likely again, given the last four Aalesund games have had 9 or more as well, it should happen.

Stabæk price is very short, not worth backing, although they should come out on top, it isn't as clear cut as many would think.

Bet Builder: Stabæk to win either half and 9+ match corners (2.02)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Antonsson (2.25), Karlsbakk (9.50) or Kinoshita (2.60)


Strømsgodset v Start (Home win)¨


Godset manager Henrik Pedersen was furious last week when his team threw away three points late on, as they continue to struggle for win. They haven't won in the last six games, drawing five in a row now incredibly.

Last week they were two up thanks to Salvesen and Johan Hove, probably their two best players in recent weeks who they need to step up and take control of the game this week.

Start won 5-1 over Haugesund, an excellent first half display had them 3-0 up, thanks to Schulze and el Makrini adding to an early own goal. Further goals were added by Schulze and then amazingly, another own goal by the same player, Ulrik Fredriksen the unlucky party.

It was a huge win for Start who have been over reliant on their home form to give them any hope of staying up. Just two points picked up on the road this year, so they are unlikely to be winning this weekend.

Strømsgodset haven't won at home since July, so they need to start picking up wins, and I do think they will find a way this weekend. Start usually try and keep it tight away from home, but they always concede and find it difficult to come out into attacking mode afterwards.

Start have only scored 7 goals away from home this season, but I think Godset need to win this and will probably give up some chances on the break. Start also really could do with a win, so both teams to score is good value. 

Lars Jørgen Salvesen has started to look much sharper recently, and I like the look of him to get on the scoresheet here. The 24 year old only has six goals, but he should be hitting double figures easily before the season is out.

Neither side has strengthened at the end of the window, so it will be up the the current players to get back to winning ways for the home side, and for Start to get out the playoff spot.

I won't play corners here, but interestingly Godset have had fewer corners than their opponent in all the previous six home games.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, Strømsgodset to win either half (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Salvesen (2.25), Schulze (3.75) or Tokstad (3.75)


Sandefjord v Vålerenga (Draw)


Sandefjord last week were unlucky in defeat to Glimt, losing 2-1 in what was a fairly even game. They were 2-0 down but fought back into the game with Lars Markmanrud smashing home after a corner fell to him. 

Deyver Vega hit the post in the 2nd half, and there were a couple near misses, but Sandefjord ultimately lost putting them just five points clear of Start.

Vålerenga won 4-1 at home to Mjøndalen, as mentioned with help from Mjøndalen keeper Makani. Bård Finne and Henrik Bjørdal picked up a couple of goals each as they continued their unbeaten form at home.

Away from home has been a different story for Vålerenga, which makes this game a tough one for them. They have lost three in a row away from home at Glimt, Haugesund and Start, so Sandefjord will definitely fancy their chances here.

Sandefjord have picked up some great results away from home recently, although they haven't won their previous three home games to this one. So it is a tough one to call, and a draw could well be a likely outcome.

Both teams have better records when they play away and home respectively, so it is tough to predict here, although I do think there will be goals. Vålerenga have failed to score only once in the last 11 games, and Sandefjord have failed to score twice in their last 14, so I think it should be a game we can expect goals.

Only one game in the last 11 has had fewer than three goals in Vålerenga fixtures, and they do lend themselves to scoring goals with the attacking football they try and play. 

Something else to look at is cards. Sandefjord have more cards than anyone at home, Vålerenga are second in games away from home. These are the 2nd and 3rd teams when it comes to total yellow cards, so if you like playing card bets, this is your game.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, over 2.5 goals in the match (2.30)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kjartansson (2.40), Vega (3.25) or Bjørdal (6.00)



Eliteserien Bets of the Week


Brann to score 2+ goals (2.0)

Bodø/Glimt Draw no bet to beat Molde (2.0)

BTTS Double - Kristiansund v Rosenborg and Sandefjord v Vålerenga (2.44)

1st Division Bet of the Week


Tromsø HT/FT v KFUM Oslo (2.10)



Friday 2 October 2020

Gameweek 20 Preview

 Gameweek 20 in Eliteserien as, you have guessed it, Bodø/Glimt remain unbeaten. Just two draws and 17 wins this season, can they go the 30 game season without defeat?


In European action this week we saw the end of Molde's Champions League hopes as they lost on away goals after a 0-0 draw in Ferencvaros, and now drop to Europa League. Rosenborg were beaten by PSV, so only Molde will fly the Norwegian flag.


Elsewhere, Jens Petter Hauge left Glimt to sign for AC Milan in the transfer of the week. A well deserved move after an incredible season for the youngster.


Eight games over two days this weekend before a break for internationals, lets take a look at what we have in the preview.


Saturday 3rd October


Sarpsborg v Stabæk (Draw)


Sarpsborg played out a 0-0 with Strømsgodset last weekend to gain a decent point on the road in a pretty uninspiring game. Sarpborg had no shots on target, but it was a pretty even game in truth.

Stabæk meanwhile picked up an important win at home to Start, just their second win in 10 matches. It lifted them up to 8th, and 10 points clear of Start in the relegation playoff spot. Second half goals from substitutes Kassi and Kinoshita gave them a deserved 2-0 win.

This week has seen some increased speculation that Emil Bohinen could be on his way out of the club in this transfer window, but nothing confirmed just yet. He would be a big loss in midfield, although he has a small injury that is keeping him out just now anyway.

This game has the makings of a low scoring affair in Sarpsborg on Saturday, although Stabæk have been struggling away from home recently in defense. They have conceded 10 goals in the last four matches combined, but Sarpsborg have only scored more than two at home once all season, that was against Aalesund.

The home form has been solid for Sarpsborg, winning 5 of their last 7, but Stabæk have been drawing a lot of games on the road, 3 of the previous 5, so this is a tough game to call.

It will probably be a tight game with few goals, similar to the 1-1 draw back in July in Stabæk. Stabæk have signed striker Marcus Antonsson from Malmo this week, the former Blackburn and Leeds player is likely to come straight in and he has talent. Could he make a difference on his debut?

Tough to find angles on this one, the corner market is tough to predict, although Sarpsborg have had more corners in their previous four games than the opposition, meanwhile in 8 of 10 games Stabæk have had fewer, so maybe a corner match bet could play here.

No result would surprise me, the only thing that would is lots of goals, with Sarpsborg going for a fourth clean sheet in a row.

Bet Builder: Under 3.5 goals, 8+ corners in match, Sarpsborg Win/Draw Double Chance (2.30)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Abdellaoue (2.30), Kornelius Hansen (5.50) or Heintz (4.00)


Vålerenga v Mjøndalen (Home Win)


Vålerenga were perhaps a little unlucky in losing 2-0 at Glimt last week as they missed a host of really good opportunities. Kjartansson was the main culprit, twice missing one on ones, and also angling wide a cross fired across the box. 

Mjøndalen lost again, this time at home to Viking, to make it 12 out of the 14 defeats. An awful record that has them in 15th place in the league, somehow still in touch with Start above them.

The home side are huge favourites understandably, they are unbeaten at home in nine games, with six wins. Their last home outing was a 2-1 win over Molde, and before that the 5-1 hammering of Brann. Both those games they have been ahead at the break and not looked like losing.

Mjøndalen have not only been losing games, they have been losing them early and not fighting back. They have four goals in 10 games, and out of the 12 defeats they have been behind in 9 of them at half time. So they aren't losing games late and being unlucky.

Kjartansson will be very keen to redeem himself after last week, and I expect he will score this week, and Vålerenga usually score goals at home, only once have they failed to score at least two.

Again it is hard to find positives for Mjøndalen, even when they defend in numbers they concede clear chances, and it is impossible to see how they can stop Vålerenga this week. Dønnum is suspended for the home side, but they have plenty quality to create and I am sure they will.

They are in the race for second place, just two points back, and with Rosenborg playing Odd on Sunday, this gives Vålerenga extra motivation to go out and get the job done.

Bet Builder: Vålerenga 2+ goals, Vålerenga to win first half (2.25)

Goalscorers to add to Bet builder: Kjartansson (1.83), Bjørdal (4.33) or Shala (3.00)


Sunday 4th October


Aalesund v Kristiansund (Away Win)


Aalesund lost out last week at home to Rosenborg 1-2, and in truth they were quite unlucky. Sigurd Haugen got the home sides goal, and he looked lively and will be hoping to score some more before the end of the season.

Kristiansund drew 1-1 at home to Brann, Amahl Pellegrino scored again, number 20 of the season, but they couldn't hang on for the win. 

The last time these sides met it ended up 7-2 for Kristiansund, but I don't think we will see quite as many goals this time, although I do think it will be a good game with both sides going for a win.

Both teams are likely to score, KBK have scored and conceded in 9 of their previous 10 games. Aalesund were slightly better last week, and they have scored twice in a row now, after a bit of time settling in to a new manager.

The home side have one win all season, and I think with Kristiansund pushing for the top 4 spots, they will be too good for Aalesund. It should be a decent game, and it should result in plenty corners for both sides with the amount of cross balls that come in. 

At least 8 match corners is pretty likely, Aalesund matches average nearly 11 at home, same as KBK away.

Pellegrino to score for an 8th consecutive game is also most probable, he is in incredible scoring form, and doesn't miss his penalties either.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, 8+ match corners, Kristiansund to win either half (2.40)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Pellegrino (1.72), Haugen (3.40) or Moumbagna (2.20)



Bodø/Glimt v Sandefjord (Home win)


The main headline this week was JP Hauge going to AC Milan, but now attention turns to Glimt remaining unbeaten, and this home game against Sandefjord can't be taken lightly.

Last week they beat Vålerenga 2-0, goals from Zinckernagel and Junker, the first from Junker set up beautifully by Hauge on is last appearance. Hauge did miss a second half penalty, but it didn't matter on this occasion.

Sandefjord became the latest team to beat Molde, completing the double over them with a 1-0 win in Molde. There were several changes in the Molde team, but the away side got ahead early through captain Marc Vales, and they held on with Molde playing poorly.

Glimt are obviously massive favourites, although in the reverse fixture Sandefjord played well and Glimt only just squeezed out a 1-2 win. Losing Hauge is a blow, but Zinckernagel and Junker will be out to show they can do it without him. Boniface is suspended, so it will be Junker up top for sure.

Goals is obviously expected, last week the first time all season a Glimt game has had fewer than 3 goals. At home they average 3.89 goals a game and I can definitely see them getting a few here.

Zinckernagel will now be on penalties with Hauge gone, so something to note for future games too.

Sandefjord are not as free scoring obviously, only once have they scored more than 2 goals this season in their 19 games.

So no surprises expected here, although Sandefjord might be able to keep the score down to fewer than the 6 that Start, Odd, Aalesund and Haugesund have all shipped against the Glimt machine.

Bet Builder: Glimt to score in both halves, over 3.5 goals (2.00)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Saltnes (3.10), Bjørkan (6.00) or Zinckernagel (1.72)



Brann v Molde (Away Win)


Brann picked up that draw in Kristiansund last time out, but they are not in great form, just 2 wins in 12 games. Bamba got the goal for them, he has missed so many chances this year, and is also being very greedy at times, as his teammates get more and more frustrated with him.

Molde meanwhile are in freefall in the league after another defeat last time out makes it 6 in 8 games. They have been concentrating on the Champions League, but they fell at the final playoff on Tuesday, unlucky to lose on away goals against Fernecvaros.

Now they can get back to concentrating on the league, and I think with 5 days rest they can put out a strong team and put in a better display. Bjørnbak and Gregersen, two important defenders are both back from injury, and they could have a part to play.

The team still looks good on paper, and I think now they have to make sure they get their form back, or they risk not being in Europe at all next season.

Brann have not won at home since the 12th of July, and this will be a tough matchup for them. Molde will dominate possession, and if they take their chances they will win the game, and they are a good price to do so.

Last week was the first game all season Molde have failed to score, so they should get back in the goals this week. Brann have scored in their last four games, but only one goal in each.

Brann have hit at least 5 corners in 6 of 7 home games, and Molde also hit plenty, at least 6 in 6 of their last 7. 

It's a gut feeling pick this one, but I like Molde to win this one, and I will be backing them at a big price.

Bet Builder: Molde 2+ goals, 9+ match corners (2.30)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: James (2.10), Hestad (2.50) or Grøgaard (12.00)


Start v Haugesund (Draw)


Last week saw Start lose out at Stabæk and they are yet to record an away win all season, picking up just two points on the road. They have managed three wins at home, coming all in a row before losing two weeks ago at home to Kristiansund.

Haugesund played out a crazy 4-4 draw at home to Odd last weekend, scoring three late goals to salvage a point after being behind 4-1 with 86 minutes on the clock. Kone and Ammitzbøll both scored in injury time after an own goal had got one back.

All this after Haugesund had taken an early lead with a Fredriksen header. A crazy game, and four goals for Haugesund a real rare occurrence after scoring 19 in the 18 games previous.

Start are far better at home than away clearly, and this game is massive for them. Seven points behind Haugesund, they need to win, and the away side will be needing to avoid defeat.

It could be a nervy encounter, and I don't expect anything like the goals that happened in Haugesund last weekend.

The previous 7 Start home games have had fewer than four goals, so I think we can expect more of the same. Haugesund have scored only 7 goals on the road, so they really don't create enough chances. This is two teams without a win in their last 3, and both will be worried about losing this important game.

Bet Builder: Under 3.5 goals, Start win/draw double chance (2.05)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kone (3.40), Skålevik (2.75) or Velde (4.33)


Viking v Strømsgodset (Home Win)


Viking have shown incredible form recently, and last weeks win over Mjøndalen was their 5th on the bounce, unbeaten in 7 total. Last week they fell behind but fought back through the familiar source of Zymer Bytyqi. He scored the equaliser, then it was a first of the year for Tommy Høiland, the striker has not played a lot, but they might need him if Berisha is injured. He had to go off at half time last weekend.

Strømsgodset are worryingly being dragged into relegation trouble, just one place above the playoff spot. They do have a 7 point margin, although four draws in a row, and no wins in 5 shows the form they are in. After not having a 0-0 all season previously, they have now had two in a row, after Sandefjord last week, it was Sarpsborg this week.

They didn't create much last week Godset, Mawa and Hove with the best chances, but this week I expect goals. Let's put those two weeks to a blip, because Godset have scored 26 this year, more than anyone else in the bottom half.

Viking have 36 goals, but they have conceded 36 as well, and add to that the 35 Godset have conceded, we should see goals here.

Nothing has really changed with the way Strømsgodset play, they are still pressing high and working hard, so I think they will be able to score a goal here, but will find it hard to keep Viking out. Viking have scored 15 goals in 4 games, so they are bang on goalscoring form.

Although I fancy Viking to win again, they are a very short price that I wouldn't back, given their defensive issues. Add to that if Berisha doesn't make the game, he is a big miss in the striker role.

Corners is worth looking at here, in 11 of the last 12 games, both of these teams matches have had at least 9 corners. In the reverse fixture there were 19 corners, 8 for Godset, 11 for Viking.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, Viking 2+ goals, 9+ corners in the match (2.87)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Bytyqi (3.00), Hove (4.00) or Ibrahimaj (3.60)


Rosenborg v Odd (Draw)



The final game of the weekend on Sunday night sees Rosenborg entertain Odd, as 2nd plays 3rd. Joint on points, one of these clubs could take a big step towards the 2nd place position in the final table.

Last week Rosenborg had Zachariassen to thank for his two goals that saw them passed Aalesund. They unfortunately couldn't follow it up with a win in Europe, as PSV came to town and beat them 2-0 to end their hopes of joining Molde in the Europa League.

Odd threw away two points with their collapse against Haugesund, but they are in good form still and will fancy their chances here. Goals from Simovic, Ruud, and a duble for Bakenga had them in command, and they will be disappointed they collapsed.

This for me is a tough game to call, although with Rosenborg playing on Thursday night, it gives Odd a slight advantage. The bookies have Rosenborg as clear favourites, but this is a 50/50 game. The reverse fixture was 2-1 to Odd, and they deserved it too.

I think we will see goals here, Rosenborg have scored and conceded in 7 out of 8 games, meanwhile Odd have only failed to score in one of the last 8, and that was in Molde, a game they missed some really good chances in.

RBK are good at home, they have lost just the once, early on against Glimt, but they are usually better in the second half, and Odd have scored in the first half of 8 out of the last 10 games. So I fancy an early Odd goal.

Torgeir Børven lasted about four months with RBK. Last years top scorer for Odd in Eliteserien has moved to Ankaragucu in Turkey, so there will be no reunion for him.

Odd have good energy and speed in attack, and that could cause trouble. The midfield battle will be interesting, and I think Kitolano, Hoff and Kaasa could have the legs and quality to trouble Rosenborg.

Tough to call a winner, but I certainly wouldn't back the home team at even money. One thing to look for is corners though. Rosenborg games usually always have plenty, with at least 9 in the previous 10 games.

Bet Builder: 9+ corners, Both teams to score (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Zacahriassen (3.75), Rashani (3.25) or Ruud (4.50)


Eliteserien Bets of the Week


Vålerenga HT/FT (2.05) NAP

Odd to score in FH v Rosenborg (2.20)

Molde to win v Brann (2.30)

OBOS bet of the weekend


Sandnes ULF to score 2+ goals v Grorud (1.83)