Friday, 20 November 2020

Gameweek 25 Preview

After a weekend off with the internationals, Eliteserien is back and this is the weekend that Bodø/Glimt will likely seal their first ever title.

A draw away at Strømsgodset would be enough, or they could be champions on Saturday if Molde fail to beat Stabæk.

This weekend we have 7 games, with the 8th game taking place on Tuesday with Rosenborg entertaining Brann.


Gameweek 24 Review

Glimt to win and over 3.5 goals NAP - A 7-0 win for Glimt in an impressive display

Vålerenga to beat Odd - A 2-0 win for the home side Vålerenga as they keep the pressure on Molde

Rosenborg to win and Both teams score - A shocking display from the Trondheim side, losing 3-0 at Viking

HamKam and Tromsø Double - HamKam 3-1 win, but Tromsø drew at lowly Øygarden, 1-1.

The bet builders went 4/8, with all of the first four in my blog coming in for a nice four fold for me personally.


Saturday 21st November

Stabæk v Molde (Away Win)


Last time out Stabæk went to Sandejord and drew 0-0, Stabæk had some chances to win it, but a draw was a fair result in the end and Stabæk have now drawn 3 in a row and are four unbeaten.

Molde were pretty unconvincing at home to Kristiansund, with perhaps the number of games catching up with them. Fredrik Aursnes scored an 89th minute equaliser as Molde grabbed a 2-2 draw. Etzaz Hussain had given them an early lead before the game had been turned around by the away side.

In the end it kept the league alive for just one more week, but anything other than a win on Saturday would see the title going to Glimt before they even play on Sunday.

The international break has probably helped Molde, and I expect they will go to Stabæk and get the job done on Saturday. They had won 4 in a row before the Kristiansund game, so they are playing well and looking like favourites for 2nd place.

Stabæk are in 8th, only two points behind Viking, and well clear of relegation troubles now. They don't really have much left to play for with six games to go. They are inconsistent, and have been all year, but they generally do well against the teams at the bottom of the table, and struggle against the top teams.

Molde won 4-1 in the reverse fixture, and I expect we will see some goals in this one, but Molde to come out on top.

Molde have scored at least two in their previous five games, meanwhile Stabæk have found scoring hard to come by, just two in the last three games, only Aalesund allowing them to score more than one goal in the previous five games.

The only issue I can see is the grass pitch at Stabæk might not be in great condition this time of year, but I think Molde have enough quality to win anyway.

In seven of the previous 8 games for both teams, there has been at least 9 match corners, so something to add to the bet builder again.

Bet Builder: Molde 2+ goals, Molde to win either half, 9+ corners (2.40)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Leke James (2.05), Eikrem (2.60) or Edvardsen (3.10)


Aalesund v Vålerenga (Away Win)


It was a crash back down to reality for Aalesund last time out, a week after winning at Haugesund they were demolished 7-0 by Glimt, and it did not flatter Glimt at all.

From the outset it looked like only a matter of time before Glimt scored, and although they went in at the break only 2-0 down, it was a capitulation in the second half, conceding five more, including three in the last 10 minutes.

With 18 points left to play for, Aalesund are 12 points behind, and considering they only have 10 points after 24 games, I don't see the picking up anywhere near enough to stay up.

Vålerenga meanwhile are in really good form, winning four of the last five games, and it was a really important 2-0 win over Odd last time out. Herolind Shala opened the scoring in the first half, then Mathias Vilhjalmsson came on to score the second late on for a deserved win.

Vålerenga sit fourth just now level on points with Rosenborg and just two points back from Molde in second.

Aalesund have lost five home games in a row, and Vålerenga after some poor away form in general this season, have won their last two on the road, and I expect to see nothing less here on Saturday evening.

They have scored 12 goals in the last five games, and Aalesund have conceded 16 in the same period, despite that clean sheet against Haugesund. So I expect Vålerenga should well be scoring at least a couple of goals in this one.

In a must win game I expect to see Vålerenga on the attack a lot, and with the creative abilities of Dønnum, Sahraoui and Borchgrevink, I can see goals for Kjartansson in this one, and Aalesund finding it tough to stem the attacking flow.

I think it is likely this will create plenty corners too. Vålerenga have had double figures for corners six times this season, and Aalesund have conceded double figures four times after doing it again last weekend. It wouldn't surprise me to see something similar here.

Bet Builder: Vålerenga 2+ goals, 9+ match corners (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kjartansson (1.95), Sahraoui (4.50) or Bjørdal (4.50)


Sunday 22nd November

Haugesund v Sandefjord (Home Win)


Haugesund followed up that disappointing defeat against Aalesund by going to Bergen and beating Brann 2-1. They were outplayed in the first half, but took the lead early in the second when Stølås crossed in and Brann keeper Ahamada could only palm it in to his own net.

Niklas Sandberg got the winner from the spot after Velde had been fouled, and Haugesund picked up a huge 3 points that pretty much guarantees their safety.

Sandefjord drew 0-0 at home to Stabæk, although they maybe could have won it when they came closest as Singh hit the post. They sit six points clear of Start in the playoff spot, so they should be safe, although one more win would probably guarantee it.

This game is likely to be another tight game involving Sandefjord. Only one of their previous 11 games has had more than three goals, with six of them having fewer than three. So they generally keep it quite tight.

Haugesund are inconsistent at home, winning five and losing five of their 12 games so far, but I fancy them to get a win here. They have good quality in attack with Sandberg and Velde who can create chances for Wadji. I'm not a fan of Wadji, but he is quick, so can cause problems.

Sandefjord have actually won more points away than at home this season, their counter attacking style suiting away games. I wouldn't be surprised if they did get a result here, but Haugesund are favourites.

The odds on Haugesund are far too short in my opinion, this is more of a 60/40 game, but Sandefjord are 4/1.

Sandefjord are the second lowest scoring team in the league with 25, Haugesund ony have four more goals than that, so it's unlikely to be a thriller. Add to that the grass pitch at Haugesund won't be in great condition in mid November.

Haugesund usually hit plenty corners at home, at least 6 in all but two games, so their games usually go well over 9, averaging 12.25 match corners this season.

Bet Builder: 9+ match corners, Haugesund to score, under 3.5 goals (2.37)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Velde (3.60), Sandberg (2.75) or Singh (no odds on bet365)


Kristiansund v Mjøndalen (Home Win)


Kristiansund went to Molde and were very unlucky to come away with just a point after losing a late goal. They had fallen behind but fought back through Amahl Pellegrino and Faris Pemi. It was goal number 21 of the season for Pellegrino, as he continues his push for the top scorer title.

Mjøndalen picked up a huge win in the derby against Strømsgodset, winning 3-0 at home and as a result dragging themselves back into contention to jump out of the relegation zone. 

An early goal from Ole Amund Sveen gave them the perfect start, and they were by far the better team, confirming the win with two second half goals, first from Brustad and then from Aasmundsen. They now sit only two points behind Start, and four behind Strømsgodset.

Kristiansund now haven't won in four games, and also haven't won in their previous four home games, so they have dropped out the race for the top four and now don't have much to play for.

It makes this game interesting, but I do still think they should be beating Mjøndalen, who are fighting for their lives down the bottom. Goals has been the issue, especially on the road, where they have failed to score five times, and only scored more than one goal in one game, at Aalesund.

In 7 of the 11 home games for Kristiansund, they have scored at least two goals, and given that Mjøndalen will not just be sitting in defending, I can see it happening again. Pellegrino is desperate for goals because Junker is chasing him down in the goal charts.

Seven games in a row with at least 10 corners in Kristiansund games, six out of seven Mjøndalen games the same, I think we can expect corners again. Mjøndalen can't afford to lose, and in fact both teams will be looking to win, so no matter how the game is set, someone will be attacking hard.

This will be a competitive game between two aggressive and physical sides, so it might not be the game of the weekend in terms of quality, but I expect the home side to come out on top.

Bet Builder: Kristiansund 2+ goals, 9+ match corners (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Pellegrino (1.80), Bye (2.50) or Liseth (3.75)


Odd v Start (Home Win)


Odd were beaten away at Vålerenga last time out, 2-0, so they will be happy to be back home this weekend to where they have been in great form.

Start picked up a huge win, with a late winner against Sarpsborg giving them a 3-2 win. Kevin Kabran got the winning goal, firing home the rebound after Bolanos saw his penalty saved.

They had twice been behind but fought back first through Erlend Segberg, and then there was an own goal from Utvik that had made it 2-2. It means they are just two points from safety, but that is all down to their home form.

Start have still not won away from home, and they are the worst away side in the league, even Aalesund have picked up more points. Just three points to show for their travels all season.

Odd on the other hand have been excellent at home, winning 7 of the last 8 and unbeaten in 10 now. In the previous five wins they have had at home, they have also been winning at half time, showing that they are getting ahead in games early, and not letting go.

I can't see anything other than another home win here then, and also expect Odd to win comfortably. Start need points, and so I don't expect they will play for the draw, but Odd has plenty quality in attacking areas, and should be the better team as they continue to chase a European spot.

The reverse fixture in June finished 0-5, and although it might not be quite as one sided this time, I think the matchup suits Odd.

Bet Builder: Odd to win and to score in both halves (2.60)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Bakenga (2.25), Ruud (3.20) or Kabran (5.50)


Sarpsborg v Viking (Draw)


Sarpsborg lost 3-2 at Start two weeks ago which just about keeps them in a relegation battle, although one win would probably be enough to remain safe. They led twice through Saletros and Halvorsen, but couldn't hang on and now they haven't won in four.

Viking put in probably the performance of the weekend, running out 3-0 winners against Rosenborg and completely outplaying them throughout. Berisha, De Lanlay against his old club, and Vevatne got the first half goals, and it could have been more in the second half.

Berisha comes into this one off the back of playing for Norway on Wednesday, and the team will be looking to continue from last time out, their first win since September.

Sarpsborg are much better at home, winning four of their last six home games, and I can see this being a really good game. That clean sheet for Viking last time out was their fifth of the season just, only Godset and Aalesund have conceded more goals this season.

So I expect goals in this one with two teams who are probably better going forward than defending at the moment. Viking had scored in five away games in a row before last time away at Odd, and Sarpsborg have been on good form, only Glimt stopping them score in their last six home games.

Hard to pick a winner, so best to stick with goals, and corners on this one from a betting angle. Sarpsborg averaging over 10 at home, Viking over 11 away from home in terms of match corners, and both teams will be attacking and looking to win in a game with two mid table teams with little pressure on them.

Bet Builder: over 2.5 goals, 9+ match corners, both teams to score (2.87)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Lindseth (4.00), Bytyqi (4.50) or De Lanlay (4.00)


Strømsgodset v Bodø/Glimt (Away Win)


Strømsgodset are in awful form and have been dragged right into the relegation picture after that awful 3-0 defeat at Mjøndalen last time out. The now haven't won for 10 games, and they need to turn it round quickly or they could go down. 

Glimt on the other hand are unstoppable in their march to the title. A 7-0 win at home to Aalesund last time out didn't really flatter them, and they are now just one point away from clinching their first ever title.

It was a master class from Ulrik Saltnes last time out, picking up two goals and an assist in a great display. There was also a first goal for Hugo Vetlesen, although he is suspended this weekend. Kasper Junker got two to take him to 18 for the season, Solbakken and Bjørkan adding the other two.

This is not the game Godset would have wanted to turn around their form, and Glimt will absolutely want to win to take the title on a high. They are only seven points away from breaking the record of 71 points by Molde in 2014, and need just five goals to beat the record for goals scored.

This game is definitely one to expect goals, two teams that press, Glimt are so dangerous on the counter and will likely score plenty goals here. They have still scored at least two goals in every game this season which is just incredible.

Godset have conceded 10 in the last 5, so it could be tough for them here, although I wouldn't be surprised if they score, Glimt have only kept two clean sheets away from home all season.

The likely title party on Sunday night and I can't see the home side ruining it. Glimt are in the midst of a record breaking season and their first title will go down in history. What an achievement, what a team, and only six more times we get to watch them before the likely break up in the winter.

edit - Unfortunately Patrik Berg and Marius Lode have both tested positive for covid, both were part of the Norwegian original squad. They will unfortunately miss the game which does still go ahead on Sunday night. It weakens Glimt for sure

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, over 3.5 match goals, Glimt to win either half (2.50)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Saltnes (3.60), Solbakken (3.10) or Hove (3.60)


Tuesday 24th November 


Rosenborg v Brann (Home Win)

This game has been moved to Tuesday night due to some players for both teams having to quarantine until Sunday, so it suited both parties.

Rosenborg come in to it off the back of a shocking display in Stavanger, losing 3-0 and by far their worst performance since Horneland left earlier in the season.

Brann lost 1-2 at home to Haugesund last time and are now nine without a win as they get dragged close to the relegation zone as well, just three points clear of Start. They were by far the better team in the first half without scoring against Haugesund, and although Petter Strand had got them level in the second half, they lost it late.

Rosenborg will be happy to be home where they won eight out of nine, and only lost to Glimt at Lerkendal all season. There was snow in Trøndelag for the first time this winter this week, but the surface at Lerkendal is in great condition still.

Brann have picked up more points away than at home this season, but I don't see them beating Rosenborg on Tuesday. Brann have conceded 11 goals in their last four away games, and Rosenborg have scored at least two goals in all but three home games.

They are still pushing for second place Rosenborg, and won't want to slip up at home. Brann have only stopped the opposition scoring three times all season and I can't see that changing here.

Given the way both teams play this should be a game with plenty corners, these are the two teams with the most corners taken all season in Eliteserien. So if there isn't corners in this game, it is a glitch in the matrix!

edit - Markus Henriksen has tested positive for covid, it shouldn't affect the game being on, but keep an eye on it.

Bet Builder: Rosenborg 2+ goals, 11+ match corners (2.33)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Holse (3.50), Islamovic (2.37) or Sander Svendsen (4.00)


Bets of the Weekend

Vålerenga to win and over 2.5 match goals (2.05)

Molde to win and score 2+ goals (2.15)

Odd HT/FT over Start (2.37) NAP

Sogndal HT/FT v Grorud (2.00)







Friday, 6 November 2020

Gameweek 24 Preview

Eliteserien goes on this weekend with just seven games to go and Glimt only two victories away from their first ever title.


The usual format of two Saturday games and six Sunday games again this week, with a huge derby in Drammen, between Mjøndalen and Strømsgodset being the game of the weekend.


Molde as normal are in Europa League action, this time at the Emirates in London to take on Arsenal Thursday evening, so will look to continue their good form and push for second place in the table on Sunday against Kristiansund.


Gameweek 22 Review

I had a shocking weekend that basically nothing went right in terms of predictions. It was just one of those days on Sunday, with the weather absolutely awful in the south and West of Norway, games were not as good as hoped, and turned into turgid affairs.


Odd to beat Sarpsborg - finished 1-1, Odd took the lead but couldn't hold on, then Simvoic missed a good chance late on, so it wasn't to be.

Haugesund/Aalesund both teams to score - Unbelievably Aalesund got their first clean sheet of the season. Haugesund missed a penalty, and several clear chances. Can't believe this never came in, a 0-1 win for the away side.

Rosenborg to score 3+ goals - A pretty poor display from the home side, not as good as recent form, just a 1-0 win.

Add to those three with the Bet Builders not going well at all, only 2/8, this is a weekend to forget and one I am determined to improve on this weekend!


Saturday 7th November


Mjøndalen v Strømsgodset (Draw)


Mjøndalen put in a good performance last week against Molde, going in ahead at half time 1-0, and playing on the front foot. Unfortunately they couldn't hang on and lost 1-3 and are still in 15th place, two points behind Start.

Strømsgodset lost again, at home to Vålerenga this time, a 0-2 defeat with yet more missed chances, they are really getting dragged in to the relegation picture.

These two sides therefore have a huge game on Saturday evening, with seven points separating them and just two places, this is a real classic relegation six pointer.

Add in to the mix just 15 minute drive between the two football clubs, these two sides from Drammen will be very much up for what will more than likely be frantic and aggressive game.

Mjøndalen have definitely picked up their performances in recent weeks, so they will fancy their chances in this one. It is impossible to call in my opinion, and I think it might be a tight game with few goals. 

Nine games without a win now for Strømsgodset has dragged them down, and goals has been the main problem. Four times in those nine games they have failed to score, scoring more than once just twice. They create enough chances, but they have not been taking them and as a result, not winning games.

Mjøndalen have their own scoring problems, scoring more than once in a game just once since the 18th of July. They have looked better recently, so maybe  they can repeat their 2-0 win they got over Brann a couple weeks ago.

The way this game is likely to go, it will likely be quick paced and I think corners is in play here. Five of the previous six games for Mjøndalen have had at least 10, and eight out ten Godset games the same.

I expect few goals, plenty cards and hard tackles. This game if the away team win will pretty much put them safe, and if the home side win, they bring their rivals down into the mix for relegation.

Bet Builder: 10+ match corners and under 3.5 match goals (2.33)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Brustad (3.50), Mawa (3.10) or Liseth (3.00)


Brann v Haugesund (Draw)


Another team that are being dragged down towards the bottom are Brann, sitting just one point ahead of Strømsgodset, they haven't won in eight games, picking up four points in that spell. Last weekend they drew 3-3 at Sandefjord.

Brann fought back from 3-1 down to level in injury time through Fredrik Haugen, but they were helped by some poor goalkeeping in the Sandefjord goal. It might turn out to be a crucial point for the side from Bergen.

Haugesund meanwhile became the first side this season to fail to score against Aalesund, and the second team to lose to them. In truth it was really one of those days, with a missed penalty, and several chances that somehow stayed out of the net on what was a horrendous day in Haugesund.

This game is another in which Brann need to be winning, but it is tough to call, given Haugesund have been playing better of late. They will be keen to bounce back from last week, and this game could really go any way.

The reverse fixture finished 1-2 for Brann in the first game of the season, and I expect it to be close again, with the likelihood of goals from both sides. Brann have scored in 8 of the last 9 games, Haugesund had scored in 9 in a row before last weekend.

Brann need to win, so won't be sitting back, and with the pace of Wadji in attack for Haugesund, they could counter very efficiently in this one. Look for Wadji to have one or two good chances in this one if the game is level or Haugesund are ahead.

Brann have not been leading at half time in any game, since gameweek 7, I find that incredible, and something they need to put right. You can't keep coming from behind in games, they have only been leading at half time twice all season, two games that they won.

Corners I like here too, with 14 of the last 15 Brann games having at least nine corners, and 7 of the last 8 Haugesund games the same. 

Both teams play on grass, so no advantage there for the home side, and the weather will hopefully be nicer than last week. We should be in for a good even game on Saturday night.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score and 9+ match corners (2.08)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Bamba (2.60), Wadji (2.87) or Velde (4.75)



Sunday 8th November


Bodø Glimt v Aalesund (Home Win)


Glimt were back to something like their attacking best in Kristiansund last week, winning 3-2, thanks to a double from Kasper Junker and one from Vegard Moberg.

Zinckernagel was back in the team after his injury layoff, and he made a difference as expected, picking up assist number 14 of the season, to add to his 14 goals. Junker now has 16 goals, just four behind Pellegrino, and chasing him down quickly.

Aalesund fresh off their first clean sheet and second win of the season couldn't have asked for a tougher fixture to play next. Last week was their lucky day with the missed chances for the home side, but the winning goal was a special finish from Niclas Castro. Volleying it over the keeper and in off the bar to give them the win.

Glimt are two wins away from the title, and I think this could be a big win for the home side. Junker is looking to score as many goals as possible to catch Pellegrino, and Zinckernagel is looking for as many goal involvements as he can. Aalesund could well be in for a long evening.

Glimt have scored six goals in four separate games, I wouldn't put it passed them doing it again here. In the prior two away games to Haugesund, Aalesund conceded 4 at Stabæk and 5 at Viking, so I tend to think last week was a bit of a one off.

Aalesund need 3 points in the remainder of the season to avoid becoming the lowest points scoring team in the 30 game Eliteserien history. So maybe it won't be this week, but if they are already doomed as it appears, this at least is something to aim for.

Glimt have won every home game this season, they have scored two or more in every game this season, and still only dropped points in three games. They only need 10 points in the remaining 7 games to become the highest points total in top flight history. What a team, and what a season. Lets enjoy them before the inevitable loss of half the team in the winter.

Bet Builder: Glimt to win, over 3.5 match goals, Glimt to score in both halves (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Saltnes (3.10), Zinckernagel (1.72) or Bjørkan (6.00)


Molde v Kristiansund (Home Win)


Molde come into this off the back of a 4-1 defeat to Arsenal in London, and juggling the Europa League with league games is surely going to catch up with them at some point.

Last week they came from behind to beat Mjøndalen 3-1 in Drammen, and that is the fourth week in a row they have either come from behind to win, or been drawing at the half and gone on to win.

Martin Ellingson got a goal in London, and it was also him that was the main man last weekend, grabbing two goals in the turnaround win. The other goal was a penalty from Leke James after Birk Risa had been brought down in the box.

Kristiansund were involved in that game with Glimt, in which they went ahead early through Pellegrino, his 20th of the season, but then fell behind. Bendik Bye got them back level, but they lost it late and now look destined to finish outside the European spots, now 6 points behind Odd who sit 4th.

This game will probably have a similar pattern to Molde's previous games, and I expect it will be tight in the first half. Molde will likely rotate again, but it has generally been when the subs come on that they get into their stride and win the games.

Although I fancy the home side to win, the price is very short and Kristiansund could well cause a surprise. Coming in off the back of Thursdays game, I can see Molde conceding for sure, and both teams scoring is pretty likely.

The reverse fixture was 2-2 in Kristiansund, and it is a short trip down for Kristiansund to Molde, so this derby game should be keenly contested and hopefully we get a good game.

Corners is in play here too, with 4 of the last 5 Molde games having at least 11 corners, and all of the previous 6 Kristiansund game having 11 or more. Molde usually concede plenty at home, and the reverse fixture had 17 corners, so expect something similar here.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, Molde to score in the 2nd half, 9+ match corners (2.62)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Pellegrino (2.30), James (1.83) or Ellingson (4.00)


Sandefjord v Stabæk (Draw)


Sandefjord will be disappointed to have thrown away three points last week after leading 3-1 just passed the hour mark.

Kreuzriegler, Singh and Jonsson had scored their goals, but ultimately it was Storevik in goals for Sandefjord that let them down. In fairness he has been very solid in goals this season, but last week was a bad day. First he let a cross bounce out of his hands and into the net, then late on let a shot go passed him that really shouldn't have.

In fairness to Storevik, the weather was awful, but he will still feel responsible and no doubt will be looking for a big performance this week.

Stabæk drew 1-1 at home to Viking in a fairly even game. Luc Kassi gave them the lead before Bytyqi scored a wonder goal for Viking to level. Stabæk had plenty good chances, and they maybe could have taken the three points.

Stabæk find themselves only six points off a top six spot, and Sandefjord probably just one win away from safety. Two teams that should be looking for a win here, and hopefully as a result we get a good game.

Another game that no result would really surprise me, although Stabæk haven't won on the road since the 19th of July, and Sandefjord haven't won at home since the 1st of August, so a draw seems pretty likely.

Sammy Skytte looked really lively for Stabæk last week, he hasn't been in the goals, but he is getting closer, maybe this will be his week.

Sandefjord have the second fewest goals in the league this season, equal with Start, and both sides generally aren't involved in high scoring games. Although with the pressure of relegation basically off, maybe both sides will open up a bit more and we can see a nice flowing game.

Last week there was 20 corners and 6 goals in Sandefjord, so lets hope for something similar.

Bet Builder: 9+ match corners, both teams to score (2.40)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Skytte (5.00), Singh (6.50) or Vega (2.87)


Start v Sarpsborg (Away Win)


Last weekend Start were perhaps a little unlucky to lose in the end, 1-0 at Rosenborg, but that is two 1-0 defeats in a row now, and they still sit 5 points behind Strømsgodset and just two points clear of Mjøndalen in that 15th position.

Sarpsborg drew 1-1 away at Odd on Saturday and played pretty well, deserving of a point in the end, and they look safe now from any relegation trouble. Mikael Dyrestam got the goal, the big defender firing home after a corner hadn't been cleared.

This game is likely to be fairly tight, it was 1-0 to Sarpsborg in the reverse game, and neither side are particularly prolific in front of goal.

I can see Sarpsborg stealing this one with less pressure on them and the quality they have on the pitch. They have been creating good chances in recent weeks. Start have only scored once in the last three games, and they also will be without the suspended el Makrini this weekend who saw red last weekend.

Start need to win, so they can't afford to sit in and wait for things to happen, and Sarpsborg have shown to be quite strong in counter attack with Lindseth and Heintz looking particularly dangerous.

It is likely to a scrappy game down in Kristiansand, and although I prefer the away side to win, Start have picked up most of their points at home this season, and they need to do it again. They have four wins, all come at home this year, but it has been goals that is the issue. Just 25 all season, joint second lowest.

Sarpsborg only have 27 goals themselves, only 9 away from home, so if they do win, it probably won't be a big scoreline.

Bet Builder: Sarpsborg to win either half and under 4.5 goals (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Heintz (4.50), Bringaker (3.10) or Lindseth (4.50)


Viking v Rosenborg (Away Win)


Viking come into this one off the back of a really poor display and result at Odd on Wednesday night losing 3-0 and not playing well at all. Since coming back after a three week break they have lost against Haugesund, drawn with Stabæk and been hammered by Odd.

Rosenborg beat Start 1-0 and are 11 games unbeaten as they continue to push for the 2nd spot. Carlo Holse got the goal in the second half, after they had failed to take one of their many chances in the first half.

Viking have now conceded 43 goals this season, only Aalesund have conceded more than that this season, so expect Rosenborg to take advantage of that and get a win away from home. They haven't lost since the first week in August, and although Viking have good attacking players, I think the away team will keep the record up.

I'm definitely expecting goals in this one, although Rosenborg have looked much more solid the last few weeks since Eyjolfsson came in to partner Reginiusson at central defense.

Viking have only failed to score in one home game all season, so it would be a surprise if they didn't score here, although only Sarpsborg and Sandefjord have failed to score against them.

These two teams hit more corners than anyone else in the league, so expect there to be plenty of corners in this game. So expect plenty attacking, plenty corners, and hopefully, plenty of goals.

Bet Builder: 10+ match corners and both teams to score (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Berisha (2.87), Zachariassen (3.40) or Bytyqi (4.00)


Vålerenga v Odd (Home Win)


Vålerenga picked up a really good win away at Strømsgodset last weekend, winning 2-0 with goals coming from Henrik Bjørdal and Christian Borchgrevink. Bjørdal has been really excellent since arriving in the summer, making a big difference to the Vålerenga midfield.

Odd played two home games since last time I wrote, drawing at home to Sarpsborg 1-1, the goal from Espen Ruud from the penalty spot. The other game was an excellent 3-0 win on Wednesday over Viking, two goals for Bakenga and the third was added by Joshua Kitolano.

Coming into this one these two sides are level in 4th place on 42 points, with a European spot to play for. Vålerenga are still unbeaten at home this season, so they are favourites here, and I think with the extra rest, and the form they are in, they can take a crucial three points.

Odd have lost five times away from home this season, crucially against the other three teams in the top five, so they haven't been able to perform in the big games on the road. 

I think the home side will have too much attacking quality for Odd this weekend. Vebjørn Hoff has been playing in defense for Odd recently due to injuries, and he is a quality midfielder, but I worry how he will cope with Kjartansson. 

Also I think Kitolano could be vulnerable defensively against Dønnum and Borchgrevink on that side, and Sahraoui could well be too sharp for 36 year old Espen Ruud on the other side.

This should be a really good game to end the weekend, the home side have scored at least two goals in all but two home games this season, and in those two games they did manage to score. So the home side should score, and I fancy them to get at least two again.

Odd managed three at Aalesund two weeks ago, but against the big sides it was one each in big defeats at Glimt and Rosenborg, and they failed to score in Molde.

I'll probably look at corners here too, the previous five home games for Vålerenga have had at least 13 corners in them. Five out of the last 6 Odd games have had at least 9, and I think these two sides will be attacking each other in a really good encounter.

Bet Builder: Vålerenga 2+ goals and 10+ match corners (2.87)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kjartansson (2.05), Bakenga (3.00) or Bjørdal (5.00)


My Bets for the Weekend

Glimt to win and over 3.5 goals in the match v Aalesund (2.00) NAP

Vålerenga to win v Odd (1.83)

Rosenborg to win and Both teams to score (3.4)

Hamkam and Tromsø double (2.26)









Friday, 30 October 2020

Gameweek 23 Preview

Gameweek 23 in Eliteserien will see all 16 teams playing over the weekend for the first time in a month. Molde are balancing Europa League action with battling for second place in the table, with Rosenborg, Vålerenga and Odd all battling for the silver medal.


Last weeks round ended on Tuesday with Haugesund picking up a massive win at Viking, and it was a solid week for the blog, as we take a look at my bets for last weekend.


Gameweek 22 Bets

Rosenborg to score 2+ goals (2.1)

Odd to beat Aalesund (1.85) NAP

Glimt v Mjøndalen over 3.5 goals

Åsane to beat KFUM (2.00)

So it was 2 out of 4 in the bets of the week, and in the eight individual game bet builders, it was 5/8 that were correct. A decent ratio for the weekend, and plenty opportunity for people to make some money!

Moving on to Gameweek 23, it is back to the usual of two games Saturday and six on Sunday, with game of the week taking place in Kristiansund, where they welcome Bodø/Glimt on Sunday evening.


Saturday 31st October


Odd v Sarpsborg (Home win)

Last week Odd went to Aalesund and ran out comfortable 3-0 winners, despite fielding an extremely young team, averaging 23.4 years of age, only three players older than 24 years old. The Kitolano brothers played together for the first time, and they got an easy win.

The result was massively helped by Aalesund keeper Lie having an absolute shocking error for the opening goal, a first goal for Odd for 21 year old Odin Bjørtuft. The second goal was another first for the club, this time for 20 year old Kevin Egell-Johnsen.

Bakenga headed home the third late on for his seventh goal of the season to keep the pressure on the three teams above them in the race for second.

Sarpsborg were beaten 1-2 at home to Rosenborg. Going two down in the first half, they scored with 20 minutes to go through Jonathon Lindseth, but failed to find a late equaliser despite good pressure. Sitting 10th and eight points clear of Start in 14th, Sarpsborg will be looking up in the remaining games to try and finish in the top half.

The away form of Sarpsborg has been the main issue for them this season, just eight points out of 27 they have total have been won on the road.

Odd have really good home form, winning 7 out of 10 games at home this year, so this should be a home win. I do think however this could be a close game. Sarpsborg have improved a lot in Autumn, particularly adding attacking quality.

Odd have won their previous six home games, and after three away games in a row will be happy to be back home this weekend. 

Sarpsborg beat Odd 2-0 earlier in the season, so Odd will be out for some revenge, and I think we could be in for a good game. Normally Sarpsborg either don't concede, or fail to score, so it is hard to back up with stats that both teams will score, but Odd have scored in 11 out of 12 games, and I think given Sarpsborg improved attack, we will see an open game here.

Sarpborg have only scored more than once in one game away from home all season, so it is unlikely they will score many, but I think they will get one.

I like Odd to win this one, and with Espen Ruud back from suspension, he brings some experience to this young side. I think it will be a pretty even game, but Odd have enough about them at home to get the job done.


Bet Builder: Both teams to score, Odd to win either half (2.40)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Bakenga (2.50), Ruud (3.75) or Heintz (5.00)


Haugesund v Aalesund (Home Win)


Haugesund won at Viking on Tuesday night thanks to a first half goal from Ibrahima Wadji, and some help from the referee who refused Viking a late spot kick for a clear foul by Alexander Stølås in injury time.

It was the best of Wadji, using his pace to go in behind and finishing calmly into the far corner. He isn't a great striker, but he is quick and it can be dangerous especially on the counter attack.

Aalesund lost for the ninth game in a row, conceding another three goals, making it 16 conceded in the last five games.

Haugesund are another team who perform better at home, and they are very inconsistent, having only won consecutive games twice this season with that win on Tuesday. They beat Sarpsborg at home two weeks ago, and I expect they will win this week as well.

Aalesund are as good as down with their 7 points, and motivation looks pretty low right now. They haven't scored for the last couple of games, and are yet to keep a clean sheet all season, so it would be a surprise to see it this week against a team who are finding form and have scored in nine games in a row.

I think it is a game we can expect goals in, 7 of 11 home games have had at least three at Haugesund, and Aalesund games have only seen fewer than three on four occasions all season.

The reverse game was 1-3 in Aalesund, and Haugesund have conceded 36 goals this season, so Aalesund scoring isn't out of the question, and both teams to score is well priced at 1.9.

If Haugesund win they can go seventh, and a top half finish would be a good achievement. They are strong favourites on Saturday, and I don't see them slipping up here.

Haugesund home games and Aalesund away games generally serve up plenty corners, so something to add to the bet builder for this one.

Bet Builder: over 2.5 goals, 9+ corners (2.20)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Wadji (1.90), Velde (3.00) or Bruno Leite (4.33)



Sunday 1st November


Mjøndalen v Molde (Away Win) (1500 Kick Off CET)


Last weekend Mjøndalen went to Glimt and didn't play too badly in defeat, losing 2-0. They had a couple of good chances, but ultimately it is another week without scoring, the ninth time this season.

Molde on the other hand won at home to Strømsgodset, eventually scoring two goals in the second half before conceding late, in a 2-1 win. Leke James and Martin Ellingson grabbed the goals, with James returning from an injury, it will be good to have him back in the team for the remainder of the season.

Balancing Europa League games with the league will be hard for Molde as they played Rapid Vienna on Thursday night and picked up a huge 1-0 win, Ohi with the goal in the second half, which puts them in a strong position before two games with Arsenal.

Mjøndalen are still in 15th place, seven points from safety, but only two behind Start in the playoff spot. They have won just five times all season, three at home. But they have lost their remaining seven games at home, so they will find it tough on Sunday afternoon.

Although Molde are playing twice a week currently, they have the squad and the quality to win this one. They were put under pressure, but they have turned round their form, winning three in a row, and I expect them to make it four on Sunday.

Mjøndalen will sit in and try and keep it tight, but they need to win games, so they can't afford to only defend.

Molde have a full squad to choose from and they should be strong enough even with some rotation. They have scored eight in their last three games, so they should be looking to score at least two here. Mjøndalen have conceded at least two in 7 of their previous 8, so Molde to score two or more is very likely.

Mjøndalen are fighting for their lives, so like last week, it might take Molde some time to get going and break them down. They have won the 2nd half in the last three games, so I am looking at them to do it here again.

Bet Builder: Molde to win the 2nd half, Molde 2+ goals (2.25)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: James (1.90), Eikrem (2.37) or Liseth (3.25) 


Kristiansund v Bodø/Glimt (Away Win)


Bendik Bye scored a late equaliser for Kristiansund last weekend as they got a decent 1-1 draw at Vålerenga to stay in the hunt for the top four. Unbeaten in five now, although three of them were draws, Kristiansund need to get back to winning ways, especially at home.

Glimt won 2-0 thanks to a double from Kasper Junker, but again they lacked the same attacking verve that we have become used to. Zinckernagel was out, and may still be out this weekend, they really are missing his quality on the right of the front three.

Despite maybe lacking a little of the attacking threat, they have still scored two or more in every game this season, and have won eight out of their last nine games. 

Kristiansund are one of just three teams to have been leading against Glimt at half time this year, and one of only two teams that have stopped Glimt scoring in the first half.

They went to Bodø and sat in very deep, making it very difficult for Glimt to break them down, and I expect to see something similar this week. Two strong centre backs plus Hopmark and Diop sitting in holding midfield, this won't be an attacking outlook from the home side.

They will look to counter and be direct, looking for Pellegrino and I think Faris, who will likely start up top this week.

Glimt might have Zinckernagel back this week, but Brunstad Fet is still out. Hugo Vetlesen made his debut from the bench last weekend, so he could start this one. It could be the weekend that they fail to score two, I have a feeling Kristiansund will shut this one down like they did to Rosenborg two weeks ago, and they kept Vålerenga to one goal last week.

An early Glimt goal would open it up, but it is hard to guarantee it the way Kristiansund defend. Hopefully it happens, as it would make for a very good game.

I would be surprised if it is 0-0, but I think this one could take a while to warm up, and the second half is likely to be more open than the first.

Glimt are favourites, and I think, although it will be tight, that they will eventually get the job done on Sunday. But this is a tough one to call given the way the home side will play.

Every home game for Kristiansund has had at least eight corners, so something to look at. Their last five games have all had at least 13 corners.

Bet Builder: 9+ corners, Most goals in the second half (2.38)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Junker (2.00), Vetlesen (3.75) or Faris (2.40)


Rosenborg v Start (Home Win)



Rosenborg went to Sarpsborg last week and came away with a really important 2-1 win to keep them in the hunt for second place. Dino Islamovic got the first goal from the spot, then a counter attacking goal was nicely finished off by left back Pa Konate. 

They were hanging on a bit late on but it was a crucial win and they are now ten unbeaten and playing much better football.

Start on the other hand had a really poor result, losing 0-1 at home to Sandefjord in what was a massive game at the bottom.

Start had the best of the game and missed some really good chances, and they were made to pay in the second half. It was a real chance to catch up with the teams above them but now they are five points behind Brann and in need of points.

Rosenborg are really strong at home, losing only once to Glimt this season and I fancy them to get a good win at home this weekend. Last home game they beat Odd 4-1 and I think Start might struggle to keep the goals down for the home team.

Start have only picked up three points away from home all season, yet to win, and the long trip from Kristiansand will not be easy for them here. I expect Rosenborg to score goals.

Start have had a couple of big defeats on the road this year at Glimt and Molde, and I think Rosenborg could dish out another one. They have scored at least two goals in 9 of their 11 home games, and I think they will get at least three here.

Start can't sit in and just hope for a draw, they need to start winning games no matter who they are playing. So hopefully we get a nice open game with Rosenborg continuing their good form.

Rosenborg home games usually have plenty corners too, at least nine in all but three of the games, and the way they are playing I can see them being on the attack in this game for the majority of the time.

Bet Builder: Rosenborg to score in both halves, 9+ match corners (2.50)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Islamovic (2.30), Zachariassen (2.87) or Reitan (5.00)


Stabæk v Viking (Draw)


Stabæk drew 1-1 away at Brann last weekend, Edvardsen scored for the second week running, but they lost an equaliser with 15 minutes to go, and neither side found a winner.

Viking lost on Tuesday night against Haugesund in a fairly disappointing display. They didn't create many chances, and perhaps were a little rusty after not playing a game for three weeks due to covid.

Stabæk will be happy to be back home where they have won three on the bounce against Haugesund, Start and Aalesund. Important wins that have taken them clear of any potential trouble and up to 8th place.

Viking had been unbeaten in eight before Tuesday night, so they will be hoping to get back to it as they seek a top half finish as well, currently level on points with Stabæk having played a game less.

I think we can expect a good open game in this one, these sides drew 3-3 back in August, and both prefer to play on the front foot. The grass at Nadderud Stadion might help Stabæk a little, but getting to this late stage in the season and with the colder weather, the surface might be struggling a little.

It is a game I think we should be looking at goals, Viking had scored 17 in 5 games prior to Tuesday, and Stabæk have scored eight in the last three home games.

No result would really surprise me, this is two evenly matched teams with good attacking talent. I think Stabæk bringing in Valsvik in defense has helped them get over the absense of Hanche-Olsen as well.

One issue for the home side is the suspension of Bohinen. The midfielder is the main man in terms of ball retention in midfield, so he could be a loss in the midfield battle.

There has been 18 and 17 corners in the last two Viking games, nobody has had more corners all season than Viking, and Stabæk are 4th in the league for corners conceded, so the away team likely to win a corner bet.

This could well be the game to watch on Sunday, and hopefully it produces the goals I expect.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, over 2.5 goals, 9+ match corners (2.50)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Berisha (2.62), Antonsson (2.50) or Skytte (4.30)


Sandefjord v Brann (Draw)


Sandefjord picked up that huge win last weekend, a really nicely taken goal from Harmeet Singh. Storevik was once again impressive in goals as they moved seven points clear of Start.

Brann drew with Stabæk and are themselves only five points ahead of Start as they struggle for form, having not won in seven games. 

Kristoffer Barmen headed in their only goal, but they still look short of confidence and were perhaps a little lucky after Stabæk missed a couple good chances to double their lead.

Barmen is suspended for this week after another yellow, so they are weakened with injuries as well, so this could be tough for the team from Bergen.

Sandefjord seem to win games when they really need to, winning recently against Start and Mjøndalen. They have a solid base and I think this will be another tight game.

Both teams have scored more than one goal in a match just once in nine games, so I think this has to be a low scoring game. Brann will be nervous about their position, and I think Sandefjord would see a draw as a good result, and would be happy to snatch a 1-0 win.

Brann have won 2 out of 15 games, so they are in awful form and although they have picked up more points away from home this season, I would be surprised if they won this one.

A draw is probably the most likely result, but Sandefjord have found a way to win important games this season, and I wouldn't put this one passed them.

Both these teams matches usually have plenty corners, only Mjøndalen have stopped them both in recent times from having at least nine match corners.

Bet Builder: 9+ match corners, under 3.5 goals, Sandefjord to win or draw (2.80)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Vega (2.87), Taylor (3.60) or Gussiås (2.60)


Strømsgodset v Vålerenga (Draw)


The run of six draws came to an end last week for Strømsgodset as they lost 2-1 at Molde. They held on for 70 minutes, but lost a couple of goals before a late consolation, and well taken goal, by Ingimundarson, his first goal for the club.

Vålerenga drew 1-1 at home to Kristiansund to remain unbeaten at home, but they will be disappointed to have given up a lead after Borchgrevink set up Kjartansson for the opening goal.

It was the 7th goal in 6 games for the big Icelandic striker, and Borchgrevink picked up assist number 4 in what has been an impressive season for the 21 year old right back.

Godset have been dragged into a relegation fight now having not won for eight games. When you draw so often it can go either way, lose a couple games and suddenly you haven't won for ages, win a couple and you are unbeaten for ages. It is the former for Godset now, and they have a tough game this weekend to bounce back.

Vålerenga have been better at home, but won 0-3 away at Sandefjord two weeks ago, and this game should be a good one. Two fairly attacking sides that both like to press. 

No absentees really for either side, I expect we could see a nice open game here and some goals to end to the weekend on. 

Vålerenga have hit a blank once in the previous 13 games, and despite their form, Godset have scored in 9 out of 12 games. So I think both teams to score is pretty likely.

The away side have only won 4 out of 11 on the road, so it is tough to back them to win, and that is the main reason they are 4th and not up in 2nd place in the league.

Kjartansson is in great form up top, Dønnum just signed a new deal too, so he will be firing on the weekend, and if anyone is going to win it will likely be Vålerenga.

Corners is an angle to look at here too. At least nine in 13 of 14 Godset games, and 15 of 16 Vålerenga games. Two attacking sides that press high and cross the ball a lot, usually equals some corners.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, 10+ match corners (2.35)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kjartansson (2.20), Mawa (3.10) or Dønnum (3.10)


Bets of the Weekend


Odd to beat Sarpsborg (1.95) NAP

Haugesund/Aalesund Both teams to score (1.90)

Rosenborg to score 3+ goals (2.38)


Division 1 prices still not up, might have something on twitter for that, or add it here tomorrow.


Friday, 23 October 2020

Gameweek 22 Preview

Gameweek 22 in the Eliteserien this weekend, and for the first time we can no longer talk about an unbeaten Glimt side. Beaten 4-2 by Molde last weekend, they finally lose a game.

This weekend we have 7 games in the league, with Viking and Haugesund playing on Tuesday due to the corona regulations meaning Viking couldn't play this weekend.

Two games on Saturday followed by five on Sunday, then the other game Tuesday means a full fixture list to preview for me.

A look back at gameweek 21 for me shows an absolutely shocking weekend on the prediction front, and so lets hope I can bounce back this week.

Brann to score 2+ goals (2.0) - Brann were shocking

Bodø/Glimt Draw no bet to beat Molde (2.0) - When I wrote this, Glimt were missing far fewer players from their team than when Saturday came around

BTTS Double - Kristiansund v Rosenborg and Sandefjord v Vålerenga (2.44) - Poor this

Tromsø HT/FT v KFUM Oslo (2.10) - Tromsø had a rare off day and missed some decent chances in a 1-1 draw.

There was the usual bet builders in which 3/7 were correct, so all in all a pretty poor weekend.


So lets hope for better things as we move on to Gameweek 22!


Saturday 24th October


Start v Sandefjord (Draw)


Start went away to Strømsgodset last weekend and drew 1-1, which on paper looks like a good result. However it was points dropped, as after 36 year old Christian Bolanos had given them the lead from the penalty spot, Godset went down to 10 men, but still fought back.

Start have only won 3 points away from home all season, so they will be happy to be home again, where they have earned 16 points.

Sandefjord lost 0-3 at home to Vålerenga on Sunday night in what was a really disappointing display, especially in the second half when they never really offered any threat to get back into the game.

As a result of last week, this game is huge with just four points separating the two teams, Sandefjord sitting just once place above Start who are in that relegation playoff spot.

Start have won four of their last five home games, so I make them favourites for this one, although Sandefjord have actually picked up more points away from home this season, as they prefer to counter attack. 

Wins at Molde and Mjøndalen recently, as well as running Glimt and Vålerenga close in away games show they are a good side on the road.

I can imagine this being a nervy game, but I see both teams scoring in this one. Sandefjord have scored in eight consecutive away games, and Start have that good recent home record.

Start need to win, Sandefjord will hit on the break, it should be a decent game in Kristiansand. Neither side has notable injury or suspension issue, although Daland might miss out for Start, the young defender has been impressive this year, but did pick up a knock last weekend.

This will be a close game, a game that means a lot to both teams, and one that no result would really surprise me come full time.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, under 4.5 goals total (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Ramsland (2.50), Vega (3.00) or Schulze (3.50)


Brann v Stabæk (Draw)


Brann went to Mjøndalen last week and they were absolutely shocking as they went down 2-0. They are now getting dragged into trouble and have not won in the last six games.

They have only won 2 of their last 14 games, and on Saturday they lacked any creativity as they were outfought by fellow strugglers Mjøndalen.

Stabæk on the other hand bounced back from their 4-0 defeat two weeks ago, to record a 4-0 win of their own against Aalesund last weekend. Typically inconsistent, they show real quality some weeks and real vulnerability others, meaning they are impossible to predict.

Goals last week came from Bohinen, Edvardsen, Solheim, and a debut goal for defender Gustav Valsvik. Aalesund were awful, and the goalkeeper was poor, but it was a good win for Stabæk.

The last win Brann had was at Stabæk, and they really need to repeat the feat and get 3 points this week. They sit level with Sandefjord and just four points clear of safety.

Stabæk have not won back to back games all season, so it is tough to predict that they will do it here, although they are far longer odds than they should be, with Brann at even money.

The home side have won just twice in Bergen all season, picking up nine points, and with these two sides both used to playing on grass, and given the wet weather recently, it will probably be a tight game.

Only 1 Brann home game has had fewer than 9 corners this season, so something to add to the bet builder.

Brann might sneak an important win, they need it, and Stabæk haven't won away since 12th July, only doing so twice this season. Depending on what Stabæk turns up, Brann could get away from trouble, but a draw is also very likely as they looked so poor last weekend and totally bereft of confidence.

Bet Builder: 9+ match corners, both teams to score (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Svendsen (2.40), Skytte (5.50) or Edvardsen (3.10)


Sunday 25th October


Aalesund v Odd (Away Win)


Aalesund are doomed to relegation and are not showing much sign of fight right now as their one win this season has long since been forgotten. 4-0 last weekend and they hardly laid a glove on Stabæk.

Odd meanwhile have dropped to 6th after they had their game was postponed last weekend. Now five points behind Molde who sit in second, Odd need to get back to winning ways if they are going to challenge for the silver medal.

The last time these sides met Odd won 3-2 thanks to a last minute winner, but I expect with Odd having European football to play for, and Aalesund already effectively down, this should be an away win.

Odd have won 6 out of their last 10 games, but recently just had some tough away fixtures at Molde, Glimt and Rosenborg. They also drew 4-4 at Haugesund despite being 4-1 up going into the 87th minute.

Aalesund have lost eight in a row, so they are not only doomed to relegation, but in awful form, losing 13 goals in their previous four fixtures.

Odd have scored 14 in their last five games, so I think with the quality they have in attacking areas we should be looking for goals in this one. Only four times in 21 games have Aalesund matches had fewer than three goals, usually because they can't defend.

Odd should get back to winning ways on the road here, I can't see Aalesund being motivated enough, or having the quality to stop them.

This game should see John and Joshua Kitolano playing for Odd together after John signed to replace Birk Risa. So nice to see brothers playing together, with their other brother Eric in great form for Tromsø this season.

Bet builder: Odd to win either half and over 2.5 match goals (2.00)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Simovic (2.30), Rashani (2.30) or Haugen (3.75)


Molde v Strømsgodset (Home Win)


Molde became the first team to beat Glimt this season with a 4-2 win at Aker Stadion last Saturday, and they deserved it over the piece. It was disappointing Glimt had so many players missing, but Molde were very good, especially in the first half.

Two goals from Eikrem and one each from Ohi and Hestad had them 4-1 in front after going behind. Helped largely by the Glimt keeper, this was a big win for them as they go for second place.

Back in European action with the Europa League on Thursday, they will have just two days free between a game against Dundalk in Ireland before they welcome Strømsgodset. But they will be full of confidence after turning round that game and winning 2-1 in Ireland.

Godset showed good fight last weekend to get their point with 10 men after Ipalibo Jack was sent off for two yellows, the second although a little careless was perhaps a bit harsh.

Moses Mawa got back amongst the goals, firing home from close range, and Lars Jørgen Salvesen nearly won it late on as they showed the kind of spirit they need to get away from relegation trouble. 

Six draws on the bounce for Godset, they need to start winning some games, sitting as they are, five points clear of Start.

With good wins in Brann then against Glimt, I do fancy Molde to win this one, although it won't be as easy as suggested, coming off the European game. Strømsgodset press hard and high, so it won't be an easy game for the home side.

The reverse fixture finished 0-4, but Godset were excellent in the first half that day, only losing a cracking goal right on half time from Hestad that set the pattern for the second half.

Godset have players to cause trouble, but Molde with momentum behind them should get the job done.

In what should be an attacking encounter, corners will be something worth looking at here, and I do expect, given the style of play of both teams, there to be goals in the game.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, 9+ match corners (2.20)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Eikrem (2.10), Salvesen (3.50) or Hussain (2.62)


Sarpsborg v Rosenborg (Away Win)


Last week Sarpsborg lost 2-0 at Haugesund, and there continues to be a big difference between their home and away form. Just two wins away from home and 8 points, compare that to their 6 wins at home and 19 points.

Rosenborg went to Kristiansund last weekend and played out a 0-0 that will not be remembered as a game for the purist. It was a game lacking any real chances and was a very tough watch. The first time Rosenborg have failed to score since the 26th of July.

Rosenborg dropped behind Molde again last week, so they will be out to try and get back into 2nd place this week. They had gone eight games in a row scoring at least two goals before last weekend, and I think they can get back to goalscoring form this week.

Sarpsborg are a good home side though, so this won't be easy. They have won 4 of their last 5 games at home, only Glimt managing to take 3 points away from them in that spell, but I do think Rosenborg can be the 5th away team to win here this season.

The reverse fixture finished 5-1 at Lerkendal, and Rosenborg look much more solid now as well with Eyjolfsson in defense looking like a really good signing. 

Zachariassen is another player to keep an eye on this week. The former Sarpsborg man is top scorer with 10 goals for Rosenborg this year, and the midfielder will be very keen to come back to Sarpsborg and steal the show.

Despite both sides blanking last week, I think this could be a really good game. One negative that tips in the way of Rosenborg is the suspension to Bjørn Utvik in defense for the home side. He is a big player and commanding defender who will be missed this weekend.

Corners as usual in Rosenborg games can be expected, with at least 10 corners coming in 11 of the previous 12 matches.

Bet Builder: Rosenborg 2+ goals, 9+ match corners (2.66)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Zacahriassen (3.75), Islamovic (3.00) or Lindseth (5.00)


Vålerenga v Kristiansund (Home Win)


Vålerenga put in probably their best away display of the season last Sunday night with a 0-3 win at Sandefjord. Two goals from Kjartansson and a late third from Aron Dønnum mean that they are only two points off second placed Molde

Kristiansund drew 0-0 at home as they continue to struggle for home form this year, just 16 points coming at home compared to 19 away from home.

Vålerenga are still unbeaten at home this season and they will de tested this week by the second best away side in the league. Kristiansund have a very solid base with Coly and Psyche both strong and aggressive defenders. 

With the addition of two holding players that rarely venture forward, it can be quite hard to break them down and get that first goal.

Vålerenga are so impressive at home though, seven wins and three draws, scoring 24 goals and conceding just 11, I expect they can score goals with the quality they have in attack. Sahraoui, Dønnum and Kjartansson is a very exciting front three, and with Bjørdal breaking from midfield, they cause defenses a lot of trouble.

Only once this season have they failed to scored two goals at home, that was in a 1-0 win.

The reverse fixture did finish 0-0, which worries me a little as Kristiansund have had three 0-0 draws this season, two against Rosenborg. So maybe they choose teams to just sit in against.

If there is a goal in the first half, this game will really open up and could be an exciting encounter with both possessing pace in attack and good ability on the counter.

Another two teams who generally have plenty corners in their matches, something to add to the bet builder here.

It might be tough at first, but hopefully the home side get an early goal and this game could really open up and be the game of the weekend between two sides battling for European spots.

Bet Builder: Vålerenga to win either half, 9+ corners, over 2.5 match goals (2.70)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Dønnum (2.75), Pellegrino (2.30) or Bjørdal (5.00)


Bodø/Glimt v Mjøndalen (Home Win)


Glimt were finally beaten this season at Molde last week in a calamitous display from goalkeeper Nikita Khaykin. It was a real shame they had to play without so many regulars, as Zinckernagel, Fet, Sempsted and Moe all missed out through inury or illness. 

They will be looking to bounce back this week, although it remains to be seen who will be back in the team, with Moe the only one looking like making it this weekend.

Mjøndalen picked up a massive win over Brann and deserved the three points with a 2-0 win. First half goals from Ovenstad and Twum gave them a lead that they held on to reasonably comfortably.

They still sit second from bottom however, and this week could see them drop further than the six points from safety they currently sit.

Glimt will be desperate to bounce back to winning ways and I think we could be in for a big win here. The last time Mjøndalen went to a top six side they lost 4-1 at Vålerenga and 6-1 at Odd the time before that.

Last week we saw Glimt take the lead through exciting youngster Sebastian Tounekti, the 18 year old looks like he could be the next big thing for Glimt in the attacking areas.

Mjøndalen have conceded 12 goals in losing their last three away games, scoring just twice. So I think they might well be playing damage limitation this weekend. They are aggressive and will fight their corner, but I think the quality of Glimt will be too much.

Glimt have scored at least two goals in every game this season, and given Mjøndalen have only done that three times all season, it is unlikely they can live with Glimt.

Three times the home side have scored six this year, can they do it again, I wouldn't put it passed them here.

Bet Builder: Glimt HT/FT and Glimt to score in both halves (2.00)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Tounekti (2.60), Saltnes (3.20) or Solbakken (2.87)


Tuesday 27th October


Viking v Haugesund (Home Win)



We have to wait till Tuesday for this fixture as Viking look to continue their good run of form before a positive Covid test cancelled their game last weekend. Veton Berisha tested positive without symptoms, so he is going to still be missing for this one.

The home side are unbeaten in eight games and will be keen to continue to push forward up the table towards the top six.

Haugesund won well against Sarpsborg last weekend as Kristoffer Velde scored again, adding to an own goal at the end of the first half. It lifted them up to 10th and six points clear of Start, although it is still very tight down there.

This should be a good game on Tuesday, although Haugesund are definitely not as strong away from home, picking up just two wins on the road.

Viking have scored 3, 3, 5 and 2 in their last four home games, so this should be another game we can expect some goals. Haugesund have conceded 9 in their previous three away games, so more reason to expect plenty goals.

I fancy the home side to continue their good form, even if it has been three weeks since their last game. Haugesund have scored in eight games in a row, so I do expect both sides to get involved in the scoring, Velde is in very good form and someone who continues to impress me.

Viking are probably just a little short for me to want to back them however, especially with Berisha out and Løkberg looking like missing out too. 

At least 8 corners in 14 matches in a row in Viking games, so again something to add to the bet builder.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, over 2.5 goals, 8+ corners (no prices on bet 365 yet)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Btyqi, Velde or Ibrahimaj


Bets of the Week


Rosenborg 2+ goals v Sarpsborg (2.1)

Odd to beat Aalesund (1.85) NAP

Åsane to beat KFUM Oslo (2.00)

Over 3.5 goals Glimt v Mjøndalen (1.85)