Gameweek 26 Preview

Gameweek 26 in Eliteserien and with five games left to go we already have our champions. Bodø/Glimt confirming themselves as champions with a win away at Strømsgodset, the first ever title for the club and the first club from the North of Norway to win the top division.

I will be writing a piece on them specifically regarding their season as a whole, but lets concentrate on what is a good battle for European spots, and also what is becoming a huge fight down at the bottom to survive relegation.

The usual eight games this weekend over Saturday and Sunday, plus a full card in midweek, except Molde and Rosenborg who can't play due to Molde being in the Europa League.

Gameweek 25 Review

Vålerenga to win an over 2.5 goals - Unbelievably they couldn't even beat Aalesund. A 1-1 draw. They hit the post late on which would have landed the bet, but it wasn't to be.

Molde to win and score 2+ goals - A 3-0 win for Molde in Stabæk, a really convincing display.

Odd HT/FT - Odd lost at home to Start. A first away win of the season for Start, and Odd losing a game at home for the first time in 11 games.

Sogndal HT/FT - Sogndal beat Grorud 2-1, unfortunately it was 1-1 at the half time break.

Only 3/8 of the bet builders coming in as well means a bad weekend for me. It isn't going so well on the betting front, but hopefully this week things will pick up.

Saturday 28th November

Viking v Start (Home Win)

Viking are back in form again after a blip post international break, and have now won two on the bounce thanks to a good win away at Sarpsborg.

They fell behind early in the second half, but a double from Ibrahimaj, the second one a quality finish from outside the box, turned the game on its head and gave Viking three points. 

Start picked up their first three points on the road all season with a huge win against Odd. They completely deserved it too, creating plenty of chances and eventually winning it late on 1-2. Schulze had given them the lead before they were pegged back, but Kevin Kabran scored for the second week running to give them a huge boost in their push to avoid relegation. 

Start have jumped above Strømsgodset into 13th and have a five point gap to Mjøndalen in that automatic relegation spot.

So both of these teams come into this one after back to back wins and confidence high, but Viking being at home should give them the advantage, as well as the fact Start have generally been so poor away from home. 

Chasing is easier than being ahead when you are at the bottom, so I wonder how Start will react now they have a one point lead over Strømsgodset to protect.

Start keep it tight on the road, defending deep and in numbers, trying to counter attack quickly, so it might be tough for Viking. Start have only conceded once in each of their last three away games. They have conceded in every away game though, so don't expect them to keep a clean sheet.

Only once this season have Viking failed to score at home, so I am expecting them to score, but also given how Start have been playing, and also how Viking generally defend, I can see both teams scoring here.

Ibrahimaj, Vikstøl and Løkberg are all suspended for Viking, as well as defensive injuries, the squad is quite thin. Start have no such issues, so they come here full strength.

I think it might be tight, not too high scoring, but I can see both teams scoring and Viking maybe nicking it, although I wouldn't be surprised to see a draw in this one.

Viking matches usually throw up corners, at least 10 in 8 of the last 12 games, 9 in 17 of 19 games, so play that on your bet builder.

edit: Bjarne Berntsen, the Viking manager was sacked Thursday just after I wrote this. Very surprising, but hopefully won't affect the way the game goes, as he will still be there, but will leave at the end of the season

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, 10+ match corners (2.26)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Berisha (2.30), Bytyqi (3.25) or Schulze (4.33)

Brann v Aalesund (Home Win)

Brann got the result of the gameweek, going to Lerkendal on Tuesday night and coming away with a 2-3 win. They were 3-0 up just at the start of the second half when Sander Svendsen fired home in off the bar for his first Brann goal.

The first two goals had come in the space of a minute in the first half. Robert Taylor smashed one in from 25 yards, before Bamba was put clean through by a poor Tagseth pass for Rosenborg. Bamba made no mistake, the man with the highest xG in all of Eliteserien has certainly missed his fair share of chances, but tucked it away easily.

Aalesund themselves put in a good display and drew 1-1 at home to Vålerenga. In windy conditions they probably deserved the point, and definitely had the better chances in the first half. The goal came from a corner as Bizoza headed home which gave them a lead that they couldn't hang on to.

This game I can see Brann going on and winning again, although they did look tired on Tuesday night. The 3 points should have lifted pressure, and I think they are good enough to win this one.

Aalesund have picked up some decent points in recent weeks, but they are still the worst team in the league. Castro and Haugen are both going to miss this weekend too which is a blow, as for Brann they have the same squad to choose from as Tuesday.

Aalesund have only scored twice in 5 games, lucky for them it has resulted in 4 points. But that is an issue, because before they were leaking goals but scoring. Now they are conceding fewer but hardly scoring. 

They will likely keep it tight, but Brann have 8 goals in the last 4 games, so I can see them scoring a couple here, especially with the confidence of Tuesday behind them.

Aalesund play a solid back 5, and look to break, but without Castro they are missing the link, and without Haugen they are missing the pace up top. So I worry they will struggle to create much. A home win should be on the cards, and Brann know if they win this week they are basically safe.

The last three Brann games have had 20, 18 and 16 corners, so I expect there to be plenty in this game.

Bet Builder: Brann 2+ goals, 10+ match corners (2.30)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Svendsen (2.10), Bamba (2.05) or Fiskerstrand (5.50)

Sunday 29th November

Bodø/Glimt v Rosenborg (Home Win)

Glimt are the champions officially, but we have known for months they would do it. They confirmed it with another win, this time a 1-2 victory away at Strømsgodset. Goals came from the usual sources, Junker and Zinckernagel with one each, taking Junker just two behind Pellegrino now on 19 goals.

Rosenborg played Tuesday night and lost again, this time at home, again shipping three goals. They were three down just after half time, and although they showed some fight to come back to 2-3, it was not a good performance.

Their goals came from Zacahriassen and Eyjolfsson late on, but it was too little to late as they slip to 4th a point behind Vålerenga.

This game is maybe a little tough to decide on, but some reasons I will give for thinking that Glimt will still be motivated are as follows. They are one win away from the record for the most in a season, three goals away, and four points away. So they have plenty to play for.

Glimt are still 100% at home, winning all 12 of their games, and last time out beat Aalesund 7-0. They have scored 46 goals and conceded just 8, a really impressive record that I think they will be looking to uphold this Sunday.

That is why I fancy them to win this weekend, and if they play to their level they certainly have a better team than Rosenborg. Berg and Lode are still out for the home side, Henriksen and Hansen are both out still for the visitors.

Glimt have still scored at least 2 in every game, so hopefully that continues, and I don't think Rosenborg will sit in, so it should be an open game.

Goals, and probably corners in this one. Rosenborg are the corner kings of Norway, and I expect they will be well priced to get some away from home here.

Bet Builder: Glimt 2+ goals, Glimt to win either half, 9+ match corners (2.50)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Zinckernagel (2.25), Solbakken (3.75) or Zachariassen (4.00)

Kristiansund v Strømsgodset (Draw)

Kristiansund beat Mjøndalen 1-0 last week, a 3rd minute goal from Dan Peter Ulvestad was enough for them as they beat the windy conditions as well as the opposition. They remain 6th, and are just five points away from a European spot, so still plenty to play for.

Strømsgodset are deep in trouble and have dropped into the relegation playoff spot after last weeks defeat to Glimt, coupled with Start beating Odd. Eleven games now without a win, they showed some fight against Glimt, coming back to 2-1 after being 2-0 down in the first half, but it wasn't to be.

The goal they scored came from Ingimundarson, who looked lively throughout and was always the most likely goal threat.

This game therefore still has meaning for both teams, especially with Rosenborg playing Glimt, it could give a chance for Kristiansund to get within two points of European football.

Kristiansund are the third highest scorers in the division with 47, and they also boast Pellegrino who has 21 goals and is the top scorer in the league. Godset have conceded 47, making them the second worst defense in the league. However, the home side have only picked up 19 points at home, and 21 away, so they tend to be better playing on the counter attack.

Godset lost badly away last time at Mjøndalen, but recently have drawn at Viking, Brann and Sandefjord, so I am backing a draw in this one in a game they need to get something from.

It is possible they lose, and set pieces for Kristiansund could be crucial this week with the height and strength they possess all over the pitch.

Godset have managed one clean sheet away from home all season, so I would expect the home side to get in the goals, but I fancy Godset to grab one too in what is likely to be an even game.

The last 8 Kristiansund games have had 10 or more corners, and given that both these clubs will be wanting a result, I can see that happening again here, as neither can afford to drop points really.

Bet Builder: 10+ match corners and over 2.5 match goals (2.21)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kalludra (3.40), Psyche (5.00) or Salvesen (2.87)

Mjøndalen v Stabæk (Home Win)

Mjøndalen will be disappointed to have lost at Kristiansund, but they are still in the hunt for survival, although they are now five points behind Start. That makes this week absolutely crucial.

Stabæk lost at home to Molde 0-3, but they are safe in mid table and don't have much left to play for. They would probably like one more win just to be sure though.

Mjøndalen have relied on their home form of late, recent wins against Strømsgodset and Brann have given them hope that they can survive, and they have shown real fight at home which makes me think they can win this one too.

Stabæk drew 3 in a row, but that loss last week means it is four without a win, and in fact they haven't won away from home since Aalesund back in July. Two wins and six draws away from home this season is probably not as good as they would have hoped. With that record, and nothing really to play for, I think the home side have the edge.

Mjøndalen have won big games against bottom half teams at home this season, plus they still have to welcome Aalesund and Start, so it has the potential to be a great escape if they can make their home a fortress.

I think it will be pretty tight here, the home side have only scored 12 home goals in 12 games, conceding 17, so it isn't a ground to see goals.

Stabæk have scored 15 away from home in 12 games, so neither side are prolific, and with nerves potentially in play for the home side, if they get a lead, I think they might sit back.

In the last 11 Mjøndalen games, there has been at least one first half goal, so I am banking on that again.

Bet Builder: 1+ first half goal, under 3.5 match goals (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Brustad (3.75), Ovenstad (6.00) or Edvardsen (3.00)

Molde v Haugesund (Home Win)

Molde won well at Stabæk last week, 0-3, goals coming from Stian Gregersen and a double from Leke James. They have followed that up however with a 0-3 defeat at home to Arsenal in the Europa League. They played well first half, but were well beaten in the second by a strong Arsenal side.

Haugesund have confirmed safety now and jumped up to 8th place in the table with back to back wins. Last week they beat Sandefjord 3-2, a 90th minute winner from Kristoffer Velde giving them the three points. He had earlier missed a penalty, but redeemed himself with an absoluely quality left footed strike as he continues to have a strong season the 21 year old.

The other goals in the game came from Tiedemann Hansen and Ibrahima Kone as Haugesund twice had been pegged back before Velde struck late.

This game coming three days after Arsenal might be tough on Molde, but I expect they will continue their good form with another win. Unbeaten in six with five of them being wins, I think they will have enough to beat Haugesund.

Molde seem to do most of their good work in the second half domestically, winning the 2nd half in all 6 of their previous 6 games. They have good squad depth and usually make it count towards to end of games. 

I also fancy them to score at least two goals, something they have done in every win this season, except their first home game of the year against Rosenborg.

Haugesund don't have much to play for so can play with freedom, so I think we will see goals in this one probably from both teams. But it won't surprise me if Molde just come out winners in the end.

Bet Builder: Molde to win the second half, Molde 2+ goals, Both teams to score (3.50)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Brynhildsen (2.30), Hussain (2.87) or Velde (5.50)

Sandefjord v Odd (Draw)

Sandefjord lost 3-2 at Haugesund last time out, a red card from Harmeet Singh not helping his team when the game was tied 2-2. 

Jacob Storevik saved a penalty to continue what has been a fine season in goals for the Sandefjord keeper, but unfortunately he could do nothing about the late Velde strike.

Odd lost at home to Start in the shock of the weekend. It was a really poor performance from them as their unbeaten run of 10 games at home came to and end against a team who hadn't won away all season.

Joshua Kitolano had levelled the game in the second half, but they in all truth didn't deserve to be level and lost the game late on.

As a result Odd are now three points behind Rosenborg for that 4th European spot, and this game becomes must win. Sandefjord are four points clear of Strømsgodset and so will be looking to win to almost certainly stay in the division, which would be a great achievement for the club.

In Odd's last six away games, they have lost at all of the top four, drawn at Haugesund, and beaten Aalesund, so it hasn't been great. They need to be better on the road, and in contrast, Sandefjord need to do better at home, picking up only 13 points at home, fewer than they have picked up away from home.

It makes this game hard to predict, Sandefjord have scored just 10 goals at home all season, a league low. So they can't be relied upon to create chances. 

I think Odd have struggled recently because Hoff has been playing defense, and they miss him in midfield. This week potentially Rashani and Kaasa could both miss out too with injuries, and if that is the case this game lacks creativity.

Rufo, Singh and Kralj are all missing for the home side, so I don't think this game will be too high on quality, and certainly not expecting a big amount of goals. Only twice all season has there been more than 3 goals in a Sandefjord home game, so it is not to be expected here.

In 8 of 12 games for these teams when they are playing home and away as they are this week, both teams haven't scored, so it is risky, but worth a look as this game could be tight.

Bet Builder: under 3.5 match goals, both teams to score NO (2.37)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Rodic (3.50), Vega (3.50) or No Goals (13.00)

Vålerenga v Sarpsborg (Home Win)

Vålerenga were so poor last week at Aalesund, dropping points against the bottom side is a real blow. They drew 1-1, equalising through Aron Dønnum from the penalty spot, although it was a very soft penalty as Sahraoui went to ground.

Sarpsborg went ahead through defender Utvik right at the start of the second half, but they lost two goals and lost the game to Viking. The first was a mistake from keeper Mitov Nilsson, the second a quality strike, but Sarpsborg will be disappointed.

They are another team four points clear of the playoff spot, equal with Brann and Sandefjord, so they could use a win to pretty much guarantee their safety.

Vålerenga have one of two unbeaten home records in the league, they have been outstanding at Intility Arena, winning eight and drawing four of their 12 games. 

Sarpsborg have been better home than away this year, picking up just 9 points away from home, so it makes Vålerenga big favourites this weekend. They have won 5 out of 6 home games, and scored at least two goals in all but two games this season at home, scoring in every one.

Sarpsborg have conceded in all but 3 away games, Aalesund, Sandefjord and Godset the 3 that failed to get one passed them. Having said that, a draw at Odd recently showed they are a decent side, and this won't be plain sailing for Vålerenga.

I fancy them to win, but not by a huge amount, and I can see this being a really good game with both sides scoring in it. A good way to end Sunday evening, this should be a quality encounter. 

Sarpsborg have a little bit of a striker crisis, but they do have enough players capable of playing an advanced role. Vålerenga have no real injury or suspension issues, and will be full strength as they try to keep the pressure on Molde.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, Vålerenga 2+ goals, Vålerenga to win either half (2.80)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Dønnum (2.87), Heintz (6.50) or Bjørdal (5.00)

Bets of the Weekend

Glimt to win v Rosenborg (1.90)

Brann and Molde win Double (2.02)

I'm afraid that is it this week, with corona virus affecting all but one fixture in OBOS Ligaen, no bets from there.

Unsure if I will have time to do a full preview of the midweek gameweek, maybe just some bets, we will see.

Thanks for reading

Gameweek 25 Preview

After a weekend off with the internationals, Eliteserien is back and this is the weekend that Bodø/Glimt will likely seal their first ever title.

A draw away at Strømsgodset would be enough, or they could be champions on Saturday if Molde fail to beat Stabæk.

This weekend we have 7 games, with the 8th game taking place on Tuesday with Rosenborg entertaining Brann.

Gameweek 24 Review

Glimt to win and over 3.5 goals NAP - A 7-0 win for Glimt in an impressive display

Vålerenga to beat Odd - A 2-0 win for the home side Vålerenga as they keep the pressure on Molde

Rosenborg to win and Both teams score - A shocking display from the Trondheim side, losing 3-0 at Viking

HamKam and Tromsø Double - HamKam 3-1 win, but Tromsø drew at lowly Øygarden, 1-1.

The bet builders went 4/8, with all of the first four in my blog coming in for a nice four fold for me personally.

Saturday 21st November

Stabæk v Molde (Away Win)

Last time out Stabæk went to Sandejord and drew 0-0, Stabæk had some chances to win it, but a draw was a fair result in the end and Stabæk have now drawn 3 in a row and are four unbeaten.

Molde were pretty unconvincing at home to Kristiansund, with perhaps the number of games catching up with them. Fredrik Aursnes scored an 89th minute equaliser as Molde grabbed a 2-2 draw. Etzaz Hussain had given them an early lead before the game had been turned around by the away side.

In the end it kept the league alive for just one more week, but anything other than a win on Saturday would see the title going to Glimt before they even play on Sunday.

The international break has probably helped Molde, and I expect they will go to Stabæk and get the job done on Saturday. They had won 4 in a row before the Kristiansund game, so they are playing well and looking like favourites for 2nd place.

Stabæk are in 8th, only two points behind Viking, and well clear of relegation troubles now. They don't really have much left to play for with six games to go. They are inconsistent, and have been all year, but they generally do well against the teams at the bottom of the table, and struggle against the top teams.

Molde won 4-1 in the reverse fixture, and I expect we will see some goals in this one, but Molde to come out on top.

Molde have scored at least two in their previous five games, meanwhile Stabæk have found scoring hard to come by, just two in the last three games, only Aalesund allowing them to score more than one goal in the previous five games.

The only issue I can see is the grass pitch at Stabæk might not be in great condition this time of year, but I think Molde have enough quality to win anyway.

In seven of the previous 8 games for both teams, there has been at least 9 match corners, so something to add to the bet builder again.

Bet Builder: Molde 2+ goals, Molde to win either half, 9+ corners (2.40)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Leke James (2.05), Eikrem (2.60) or Edvardsen (3.10)

Aalesund v Vålerenga (Away Win)

It was a crash back down to reality for Aalesund last time out, a week after winning at Haugesund they were demolished 7-0 by Glimt, and it did not flatter Glimt at all.

From the outset it looked like only a matter of time before Glimt scored, and although they went in at the break only 2-0 down, it was a capitulation in the second half, conceding five more, including three in the last 10 minutes.

With 18 points left to play for, Aalesund are 12 points behind, and considering they only have 10 points after 24 games, I don't see the picking up anywhere near enough to stay up.

Vålerenga meanwhile are in really good form, winning four of the last five games, and it was a really important 2-0 win over Odd last time out. Herolind Shala opened the scoring in the first half, then Mathias Vilhjalmsson came on to score the second late on for a deserved win.

Vålerenga sit fourth just now level on points with Rosenborg and just two points back from Molde in second.

Aalesund have lost five home games in a row, and Vålerenga after some poor away form in general this season, have won their last two on the road, and I expect to see nothing less here on Saturday evening.

They have scored 12 goals in the last five games, and Aalesund have conceded 16 in the same period, despite that clean sheet against Haugesund. So I expect Vålerenga should well be scoring at least a couple of goals in this one.

In a must win game I expect to see Vålerenga on the attack a lot, and with the creative abilities of Dønnum, Sahraoui and Borchgrevink, I can see goals for Kjartansson in this one, and Aalesund finding it tough to stem the attacking flow.

I think it is likely this will create plenty corners too. Vålerenga have had double figures for corners six times this season, and Aalesund have conceded double figures four times after doing it again last weekend. It wouldn't surprise me to see something similar here.

Bet Builder: Vålerenga 2+ goals, 9+ match corners (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kjartansson (1.95), Sahraoui (4.50) or Bjørdal (4.50)

Sunday 22nd November

Haugesund v Sandefjord (Home Win)

Haugesund followed up that disappointing defeat against Aalesund by going to Bergen and beating Brann 2-1. They were outplayed in the first half, but took the lead early in the second when Stølås crossed in and Brann keeper Ahamada could only palm it in to his own net.

Niklas Sandberg got the winner from the spot after Velde had been fouled, and Haugesund picked up a huge 3 points that pretty much guarantees their safety.

Sandefjord drew 0-0 at home to Stabæk, although they maybe could have won it when they came closest as Singh hit the post. They sit six points clear of Start in the playoff spot, so they should be safe, although one more win would probably guarantee it.

This game is likely to be another tight game involving Sandefjord. Only one of their previous 11 games has had more than three goals, with six of them having fewer than three. So they generally keep it quite tight.

Haugesund are inconsistent at home, winning five and losing five of their 12 games so far, but I fancy them to get a win here. They have good quality in attack with Sandberg and Velde who can create chances for Wadji. I'm not a fan of Wadji, but he is quick, so can cause problems.

Sandefjord have actually won more points away than at home this season, their counter attacking style suiting away games. I wouldn't be surprised if they did get a result here, but Haugesund are favourites.

The odds on Haugesund are far too short in my opinion, this is more of a 60/40 game, but Sandefjord are 4/1.

Sandefjord are the second lowest scoring team in the league with 25, Haugesund ony have four more goals than that, so it's unlikely to be a thriller. Add to that the grass pitch at Haugesund won't be in great condition in mid November.

Haugesund usually hit plenty corners at home, at least 6 in all but two games, so their games usually go well over 9, averaging 12.25 match corners this season.

Bet Builder: 9+ match corners, Haugesund to score, under 3.5 goals (2.37)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Velde (3.60), Sandberg (2.75) or Singh (no odds on bet365)

Kristiansund v Mjøndalen (Home Win)

Kristiansund went to Molde and were very unlucky to come away with just a point after losing a late goal. They had fallen behind but fought back through Amahl Pellegrino and Faris Pemi. It was goal number 21 of the season for Pellegrino, as he continues his push for the top scorer title.

Mjøndalen picked up a huge win in the derby against Strømsgodset, winning 3-0 at home and as a result dragging themselves back into contention to jump out of the relegation zone. 

An early goal from Ole Amund Sveen gave them the perfect start, and they were by far the better team, confirming the win with two second half goals, first from Brustad and then from Aasmundsen. They now sit only two points behind Start, and four behind Strømsgodset.

Kristiansund now haven't won in four games, and also haven't won in their previous four home games, so they have dropped out the race for the top four and now don't have much to play for.

It makes this game interesting, but I do still think they should be beating Mjøndalen, who are fighting for their lives down the bottom. Goals has been the issue, especially on the road, where they have failed to score five times, and only scored more than one goal in one game, at Aalesund.

In 7 of the 11 home games for Kristiansund, they have scored at least two goals, and given that Mjøndalen will not just be sitting in defending, I can see it happening again. Pellegrino is desperate for goals because Junker is chasing him down in the goal charts.

Seven games in a row with at least 10 corners in Kristiansund games, six out of seven Mjøndalen games the same, I think we can expect corners again. Mjøndalen can't afford to lose, and in fact both teams will be looking to win, so no matter how the game is set, someone will be attacking hard.

This will be a competitive game between two aggressive and physical sides, so it might not be the game of the weekend in terms of quality, but I expect the home side to come out on top.

Bet Builder: Kristiansund 2+ goals, 9+ match corners (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Pellegrino (1.80), Bye (2.50) or Liseth (3.75)

Odd v Start (Home Win)

Odd were beaten away at Vålerenga last time out, 2-0, so they will be happy to be back home this weekend to where they have been in great form.

Start picked up a huge win, with a late winner against Sarpsborg giving them a 3-2 win. Kevin Kabran got the winning goal, firing home the rebound after Bolanos saw his penalty saved.

They had twice been behind but fought back first through Erlend Segberg, and then there was an own goal from Utvik that had made it 2-2. It means they are just two points from safety, but that is all down to their home form.

Start have still not won away from home, and they are the worst away side in the league, even Aalesund have picked up more points. Just three points to show for their travels all season.

Odd on the other hand have been excellent at home, winning 7 of the last 8 and unbeaten in 10 now. In the previous five wins they have had at home, they have also been winning at half time, showing that they are getting ahead in games early, and not letting go.

I can't see anything other than another home win here then, and also expect Odd to win comfortably. Start need points, and so I don't expect they will play for the draw, but Odd has plenty quality in attacking areas, and should be the better team as they continue to chase a European spot.

The reverse fixture in June finished 0-5, and although it might not be quite as one sided this time, I think the matchup suits Odd.

Bet Builder: Odd to win and to score in both halves (2.60)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Bakenga (2.25), Ruud (3.20) or Kabran (5.50)

Sarpsborg v Viking (Draw)

Sarpsborg lost 3-2 at Start two weeks ago which just about keeps them in a relegation battle, although one win would probably be enough to remain safe. They led twice through Saletros and Halvorsen, but couldn't hang on and now they haven't won in four.

Viking put in probably the performance of the weekend, running out 3-0 winners against Rosenborg and completely outplaying them throughout. Berisha, De Lanlay against his old club, and Vevatne got the first half goals, and it could have been more in the second half.

Berisha comes into this one off the back of playing for Norway on Wednesday, and the team will be looking to continue from last time out, their first win since September.

Sarpsborg are much better at home, winning four of their last six home games, and I can see this being a really good game. That clean sheet for Viking last time out was their fifth of the season just, only Godset and Aalesund have conceded more goals this season.

So I expect goals in this one with two teams who are probably better going forward than defending at the moment. Viking had scored in five away games in a row before last time away at Odd, and Sarpsborg have been on good form, only Glimt stopping them score in their last six home games.

Hard to pick a winner, so best to stick with goals, and corners on this one from a betting angle. Sarpsborg averaging over 10 at home, Viking over 11 away from home in terms of match corners, and both teams will be attacking and looking to win in a game with two mid table teams with little pressure on them.

Bet Builder: over 2.5 goals, 9+ match corners, both teams to score (2.87)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Lindseth (4.00), Bytyqi (4.50) or De Lanlay (4.00)

Strømsgodset v Bodø/Glimt (Away Win)

Strømsgodset are in awful form and have been dragged right into the relegation picture after that awful 3-0 defeat at Mjøndalen last time out. The now haven't won for 10 games, and they need to turn it round quickly or they could go down. 

Glimt on the other hand are unstoppable in their march to the title. A 7-0 win at home to Aalesund last time out didn't really flatter them, and they are now just one point away from clinching their first ever title.

It was a master class from Ulrik Saltnes last time out, picking up two goals and an assist in a great display. There was also a first goal for Hugo Vetlesen, although he is suspended this weekend. Kasper Junker got two to take him to 18 for the season, Solbakken and Bjørkan adding the other two.

This is not the game Godset would have wanted to turn around their form, and Glimt will absolutely want to win to take the title on a high. They are only seven points away from breaking the record of 71 points by Molde in 2014, and need just five goals to beat the record for goals scored.

This game is definitely one to expect goals, two teams that press, Glimt are so dangerous on the counter and will likely score plenty goals here. They have still scored at least two goals in every game this season which is just incredible.

Godset have conceded 10 in the last 5, so it could be tough for them here, although I wouldn't be surprised if they score, Glimt have only kept two clean sheets away from home all season.

The likely title party on Sunday night and I can't see the home side ruining it. Glimt are in the midst of a record breaking season and their first title will go down in history. What an achievement, what a team, and only six more times we get to watch them before the likely break up in the winter.

edit - Unfortunately Patrik Berg and Marius Lode have both tested positive for covid, both were part of the Norwegian original squad. They will unfortunately miss the game which does still go ahead on Sunday night. It weakens Glimt for sure

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, over 3.5 match goals, Glimt to win either half (2.50)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Saltnes (3.60), Solbakken (3.10) or Hove (3.60)

Tuesday 24th November 

Rosenborg v Brann (Home Win)

This game has been moved to Tuesday night due to some players for both teams having to quarantine until Sunday, so it suited both parties.

Rosenborg come in to it off the back of a shocking display in Stavanger, losing 3-0 and by far their worst performance since Horneland left earlier in the season.

Brann lost 1-2 at home to Haugesund last time and are now nine without a win as they get dragged close to the relegation zone as well, just three points clear of Start. They were by far the better team in the first half without scoring against Haugesund, and although Petter Strand had got them level in the second half, they lost it late.

Rosenborg will be happy to be home where they won eight out of nine, and only lost to Glimt at Lerkendal all season. There was snow in Trøndelag for the first time this winter this week, but the surface at Lerkendal is in great condition still.

Brann have picked up more points away than at home this season, but I don't see them beating Rosenborg on Tuesday. Brann have conceded 11 goals in their last four away games, and Rosenborg have scored at least two goals in all but three home games.

They are still pushing for second place Rosenborg, and won't want to slip up at home. Brann have only stopped the opposition scoring three times all season and I can't see that changing here.

Given the way both teams play this should be a game with plenty corners, these are the two teams with the most corners taken all season in Eliteserien. So if there isn't corners in this game, it is a glitch in the matrix!

edit - Markus Henriksen has tested positive for covid, it shouldn't affect the game being on, but keep an eye on it.

Bet Builder: Rosenborg 2+ goals, 11+ match corners (2.33)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Holse (3.50), Islamovic (2.37) or Sander Svendsen (4.00)

Bets of the Weekend

Vålerenga to win and over 2.5 match goals (2.05)

Molde to win and score 2+ goals (2.15)

Odd HT/FT over Start (2.37) NAP

Sogndal HT/FT v Grorud (2.00)

Gameweek 24 Preview

Eliteserien goes on this weekend with just seven games to go and Glimt only two victories away from their first ever title.

The usual format of two Saturday games and six Sunday games again this week, with a huge derby in Drammen, between Mjøndalen and Strømsgodset being the game of the weekend.

Molde as normal are in Europa League action, this time at the Emirates in London to take on Arsenal Thursday evening, so will look to continue their good form and push for second place in the table on Sunday against Kristiansund.

Gameweek 22 Review

I had a shocking weekend that basically nothing went right in terms of predictions. It was just one of those days on Sunday, with the weather absolutely awful in the south and West of Norway, games were not as good as hoped, and turned into turgid affairs.

Odd to beat Sarpsborg - finished 1-1, Odd took the lead but couldn't hold on, then Simvoic missed a good chance late on, so it wasn't to be.

Haugesund/Aalesund both teams to score - Unbelievably Aalesund got their first clean sheet of the season. Haugesund missed a penalty, and several clear chances. Can't believe this never came in, a 0-1 win for the away side.

Rosenborg to score 3+ goals - A pretty poor display from the home side, not as good as recent form, just a 1-0 win.

Add to those three with the Bet Builders not going well at all, only 2/8, this is a weekend to forget and one I am determined to improve on this weekend!

Saturday 7th November

Mjøndalen v Strømsgodset (Draw)

Mjøndalen put in a good performance last week against Molde, going in ahead at half time 1-0, and playing on the front foot. Unfortunately they couldn't hang on and lost 1-3 and are still in 15th place, two points behind Start.

Strømsgodset lost again, at home to Vålerenga this time, a 0-2 defeat with yet more missed chances, they are really getting dragged in to the relegation picture.

These two sides therefore have a huge game on Saturday evening, with seven points separating them and just two places, this is a real classic relegation six pointer.

Add in to the mix just 15 minute drive between the two football clubs, these two sides from Drammen will be very much up for what will more than likely be frantic and aggressive game.

Mjøndalen have definitely picked up their performances in recent weeks, so they will fancy their chances in this one. It is impossible to call in my opinion, and I think it might be a tight game with few goals. 

Nine games without a win now for Strømsgodset has dragged them down, and goals has been the main problem. Four times in those nine games they have failed to score, scoring more than once just twice. They create enough chances, but they have not been taking them and as a result, not winning games.

Mjøndalen have their own scoring problems, scoring more than once in a game just once since the 18th of July. They have looked better recently, so maybe  they can repeat their 2-0 win they got over Brann a couple weeks ago.

The way this game is likely to go, it will likely be quick paced and I think corners is in play here. Five of the previous six games for Mjøndalen have had at least 10, and eight out ten Godset games the same.

I expect few goals, plenty cards and hard tackles. This game if the away team win will pretty much put them safe, and if the home side win, they bring their rivals down into the mix for relegation.

Bet Builder: 10+ match corners and under 3.5 match goals (2.33)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Brustad (3.50), Mawa (3.10) or Liseth (3.00)

Brann v Haugesund (Draw)

Another team that are being dragged down towards the bottom are Brann, sitting just one point ahead of Strømsgodset, they haven't won in eight games, picking up four points in that spell. Last weekend they drew 3-3 at Sandefjord.

Brann fought back from 3-1 down to level in injury time through Fredrik Haugen, but they were helped by some poor goalkeeping in the Sandefjord goal. It might turn out to be a crucial point for the side from Bergen.

Haugesund meanwhile became the first side this season to fail to score against Aalesund, and the second team to lose to them. In truth it was really one of those days, with a missed penalty, and several chances that somehow stayed out of the net on what was a horrendous day in Haugesund.

This game is another in which Brann need to be winning, but it is tough to call, given Haugesund have been playing better of late. They will be keen to bounce back from last week, and this game could really go any way.

The reverse fixture finished 1-2 for Brann in the first game of the season, and I expect it to be close again, with the likelihood of goals from both sides. Brann have scored in 8 of the last 9 games, Haugesund had scored in 9 in a row before last weekend.

Brann need to win, so won't be sitting back, and with the pace of Wadji in attack for Haugesund, they could counter very efficiently in this one. Look for Wadji to have one or two good chances in this one if the game is level or Haugesund are ahead.

Brann have not been leading at half time in any game, since gameweek 7, I find that incredible, and something they need to put right. You can't keep coming from behind in games, they have only been leading at half time twice all season, two games that they won.

Corners I like here too, with 14 of the last 15 Brann games having at least nine corners, and 7 of the last 8 Haugesund games the same. 

Both teams play on grass, so no advantage there for the home side, and the weather will hopefully be nicer than last week. We should be in for a good even game on Saturday night.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score and 9+ match corners (2.08)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Bamba (2.60), Wadji (2.87) or Velde (4.75)

Sunday 8th November

Bodø Glimt v Aalesund (Home Win)

Glimt were back to something like their attacking best in Kristiansund last week, winning 3-2, thanks to a double from Kasper Junker and one from Vegard Moberg.

Zinckernagel was back in the team after his injury layoff, and he made a difference as expected, picking up assist number 14 of the season, to add to his 14 goals. Junker now has 16 goals, just four behind Pellegrino, and chasing him down quickly.

Aalesund fresh off their first clean sheet and second win of the season couldn't have asked for a tougher fixture to play next. Last week was their lucky day with the missed chances for the home side, but the winning goal was a special finish from Niclas Castro. Volleying it over the keeper and in off the bar to give them the win.

Glimt are two wins away from the title, and I think this could be a big win for the home side. Junker is looking to score as many goals as possible to catch Pellegrino, and Zinckernagel is looking for as many goal involvements as he can. Aalesund could well be in for a long evening.

Glimt have scored six goals in four separate games, I wouldn't put it passed them doing it again here. In the prior two away games to Haugesund, Aalesund conceded 4 at Stabæk and 5 at Viking, so I tend to think last week was a bit of a one off.

Aalesund need 3 points in the remainder of the season to avoid becoming the lowest points scoring team in the 30 game Eliteserien history. So maybe it won't be this week, but if they are already doomed as it appears, this at least is something to aim for.

Glimt have won every home game this season, they have scored two or more in every game this season, and still only dropped points in three games. They only need 10 points in the remaining 7 games to become the highest points total in top flight history. What a team, and what a season. Lets enjoy them before the inevitable loss of half the team in the winter.

Bet Builder: Glimt to win, over 3.5 match goals, Glimt to score in both halves (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Saltnes (3.10), Zinckernagel (1.72) or Bjørkan (6.00)

Molde v Kristiansund (Home Win)

Molde come into this off the back of a 4-1 defeat to Arsenal in London, and juggling the Europa League with league games is surely going to catch up with them at some point.

Last week they came from behind to beat Mjøndalen 3-1 in Drammen, and that is the fourth week in a row they have either come from behind to win, or been drawing at the half and gone on to win.

Martin Ellingson got a goal in London, and it was also him that was the main man last weekend, grabbing two goals in the turnaround win. The other goal was a penalty from Leke James after Birk Risa had been brought down in the box.

Kristiansund were involved in that game with Glimt, in which they went ahead early through Pellegrino, his 20th of the season, but then fell behind. Bendik Bye got them back level, but they lost it late and now look destined to finish outside the European spots, now 6 points behind Odd who sit 4th.

This game will probably have a similar pattern to Molde's previous games, and I expect it will be tight in the first half. Molde will likely rotate again, but it has generally been when the subs come on that they get into their stride and win the games.

Although I fancy the home side to win, the price is very short and Kristiansund could well cause a surprise. Coming in off the back of Thursdays game, I can see Molde conceding for sure, and both teams scoring is pretty likely.

The reverse fixture was 2-2 in Kristiansund, and it is a short trip down for Kristiansund to Molde, so this derby game should be keenly contested and hopefully we get a good game.

Corners is in play here too, with 4 of the last 5 Molde games having at least 11 corners, and all of the previous 6 Kristiansund game having 11 or more. Molde usually concede plenty at home, and the reverse fixture had 17 corners, so expect something similar here.

Bet Builder: Both teams to score, Molde to score in the 2nd half, 9+ match corners (2.62)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Pellegrino (2.30), James (1.83) or Ellingson (4.00)

Sandefjord v Stabæk (Draw)

Sandefjord will be disappointed to have thrown away three points last week after leading 3-1 just passed the hour mark.

Kreuzriegler, Singh and Jonsson had scored their goals, but ultimately it was Storevik in goals for Sandefjord that let them down. In fairness he has been very solid in goals this season, but last week was a bad day. First he let a cross bounce out of his hands and into the net, then late on let a shot go passed him that really shouldn't have.

In fairness to Storevik, the weather was awful, but he will still feel responsible and no doubt will be looking for a big performance this week.

Stabæk drew 1-1 at home to Viking in a fairly even game. Luc Kassi gave them the lead before Bytyqi scored a wonder goal for Viking to level. Stabæk had plenty good chances, and they maybe could have taken the three points.

Stabæk find themselves only six points off a top six spot, and Sandefjord probably just one win away from safety. Two teams that should be looking for a win here, and hopefully as a result we get a good game.

Another game that no result would really surprise me, although Stabæk haven't won on the road since the 19th of July, and Sandefjord haven't won at home since the 1st of August, so a draw seems pretty likely.

Sammy Skytte looked really lively for Stabæk last week, he hasn't been in the goals, but he is getting closer, maybe this will be his week.

Sandefjord have the second fewest goals in the league this season, equal with Start, and both sides generally aren't involved in high scoring games. Although with the pressure of relegation basically off, maybe both sides will open up a bit more and we can see a nice flowing game.

Last week there was 20 corners and 6 goals in Sandefjord, so lets hope for something similar.

Bet Builder: 9+ match corners, both teams to score (2.40)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Skytte (5.00), Singh (6.50) or Vega (2.87)

Start v Sarpsborg (Away Win)

Last weekend Start were perhaps a little unlucky to lose in the end, 1-0 at Rosenborg, but that is two 1-0 defeats in a row now, and they still sit 5 points behind Strømsgodset and just two points clear of Mjøndalen in that 15th position.

Sarpsborg drew 1-1 away at Odd on Saturday and played pretty well, deserving of a point in the end, and they look safe now from any relegation trouble. Mikael Dyrestam got the goal, the big defender firing home after a corner hadn't been cleared.

This game is likely to be fairly tight, it was 1-0 to Sarpsborg in the reverse game, and neither side are particularly prolific in front of goal.

I can see Sarpsborg stealing this one with less pressure on them and the quality they have on the pitch. They have been creating good chances in recent weeks. Start have only scored once in the last three games, and they also will be without the suspended el Makrini this weekend who saw red last weekend.

Start need to win, so they can't afford to sit in and wait for things to happen, and Sarpsborg have shown to be quite strong in counter attack with Lindseth and Heintz looking particularly dangerous.

It is likely to a scrappy game down in Kristiansand, and although I prefer the away side to win, Start have picked up most of their points at home this season, and they need to do it again. They have four wins, all come at home this year, but it has been goals that is the issue. Just 25 all season, joint second lowest.

Sarpsborg only have 27 goals themselves, only 9 away from home, so if they do win, it probably won't be a big scoreline.

Bet Builder: Sarpsborg to win either half and under 4.5 goals (2.15)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Heintz (4.50), Bringaker (3.10) or Lindseth (4.50)

Viking v Rosenborg (Away Win)

Viking come into this one off the back of a really poor display and result at Odd on Wednesday night losing 3-0 and not playing well at all. Since coming back after a three week break they have lost against Haugesund, drawn with Stabæk and been hammered by Odd.

Rosenborg beat Start 1-0 and are 11 games unbeaten as they continue to push for the 2nd spot. Carlo Holse got the goal in the second half, after they had failed to take one of their many chances in the first half.

Viking have now conceded 43 goals this season, only Aalesund have conceded more than that this season, so expect Rosenborg to take advantage of that and get a win away from home. They haven't lost since the first week in August, and although Viking have good attacking players, I think the away team will keep the record up.

I'm definitely expecting goals in this one, although Rosenborg have looked much more solid the last few weeks since Eyjolfsson came in to partner Reginiusson at central defense.

Viking have only failed to score in one home game all season, so it would be a surprise if they didn't score here, although only Sarpsborg and Sandefjord have failed to score against them.

These two teams hit more corners than anyone else in the league, so expect there to be plenty of corners in this game. So expect plenty attacking, plenty corners, and hopefully, plenty of goals.

Bet Builder: 10+ match corners and both teams to score (2.10)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Berisha (2.87), Zachariassen (3.40) or Bytyqi (4.00)

Vålerenga v Odd (Home Win)

Vålerenga picked up a really good win away at Strømsgodset last weekend, winning 2-0 with goals coming from Henrik Bjørdal and Christian Borchgrevink. Bjørdal has been really excellent since arriving in the summer, making a big difference to the Vålerenga midfield.

Odd played two home games since last time I wrote, drawing at home to Sarpsborg 1-1, the goal from Espen Ruud from the penalty spot. The other game was an excellent 3-0 win on Wednesday over Viking, two goals for Bakenga and the third was added by Joshua Kitolano.

Coming into this one these two sides are level in 4th place on 42 points, with a European spot to play for. Vålerenga are still unbeaten at home this season, so they are favourites here, and I think with the extra rest, and the form they are in, they can take a crucial three points.

Odd have lost five times away from home this season, crucially against the other three teams in the top five, so they haven't been able to perform in the big games on the road. 

I think the home side will have too much attacking quality for Odd this weekend. Vebjørn Hoff has been playing in defense for Odd recently due to injuries, and he is a quality midfielder, but I worry how he will cope with Kjartansson. 

Also I think Kitolano could be vulnerable defensively against Dønnum and Borchgrevink on that side, and Sahraoui could well be too sharp for 36 year old Espen Ruud on the other side.

This should be a really good game to end the weekend, the home side have scored at least two goals in all but two home games this season, and in those two games they did manage to score. So the home side should score, and I fancy them to get at least two again.

Odd managed three at Aalesund two weeks ago, but against the big sides it was one each in big defeats at Glimt and Rosenborg, and they failed to score in Molde.

I'll probably look at corners here too, the previous five home games for Vålerenga have had at least 13 corners in them. Five out of the last 6 Odd games have had at least 9, and I think these two sides will be attacking each other in a really good encounter.

Bet Builder: Vålerenga 2+ goals and 10+ match corners (2.87)

Goalscorers to add to Bet Builder: Kjartansson (2.05), Bakenga (3.00) or Bjørdal (5.00)

My Bets for the Weekend

Glimt to win and over 3.5 goals in the match v Aalesund (2.00) NAP

Vålerenga to win v Odd (1.83)

Rosenborg to win and Both teams to score (3.4)

Hamkam and Tromsø double (2.26)